- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on NSCA | FDOK | KWTV
The Sacramento Kings visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Kings vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Kings are 18-26 against the spread, while the Thunder are 27-17 against the spread.
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Kings vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Sacramento Kings | O | ||
| Oklahoma City Thunder | U |
Thunder vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Thunder.
Thunder vs Kings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+11.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+10.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 69 games (+9.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 46 games at home (+16.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 37 of their last 61 games (+13.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 63 games (+11.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 22% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 18-26 (-10.6 Units / -20.5% ROI).
- 24-23 against the Moneyline (-13.4 Units / -11.05% ROI)
- 24-22 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.39% ROI)
- 22-24 against the Under for game total points (-4.45 Units / -8.6% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 27-17 (+8.3 Units / 16.05% ROI).
- 37-10 against the Moneyline (+8 Units / 3.48% ROI)
- 25-21 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 3.68% ROI)
- 21-25 against the Under for game total points (-6.5 Units / -12.57% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 91 games (-16.05 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-15.83 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 82 games (-15.00 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 46 games at home (-14.00 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games at home (-12.75 Units / -9% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 42 games (-24.60 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-23.37 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-20.36 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 42 games (-17.45 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 42 games (-17.32 Units / -35% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Kings are 0-14 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have allowed 109.8 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA.
The Kings are winless (0-16) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .094
The Kings were 26-14 (.650) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Kings are 44-18 (.710) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Thunder are 16-4 (.800) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .437
The Thunder are 12-4 (.750) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed 14.4 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th-worst in the NBA.
The Thunder are 36-9 (.800) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561
The Thunder are 69-18 (.793) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,268 assists/ 616 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Kings averaged 116.6 points per game (9,558 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Kings are shooting 81% from the free throw line (825/1,018) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Kings have averaged 14.5 fast break points per game (682 points/47 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (555 turnovers/46 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6
The Thunder have a 21% free throw rate (897 free throw attempts/4,226 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings have allowed 5.5 second chance points per game (712 points/129 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (739 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Kings have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,704 rebounds/47 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 11.2 steals per game (517 steals/46 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (578/1,767) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (289/905) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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