- The Thunder are -3.5 favorites vs. the Kings
- Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
- Watch the game on BSOK | NSCA
The Sacramento Kings visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Kings vs Thunder Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Kings are 27-23 against the spread, while the Thunder are 31-20 against the spread.
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Kings vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Sacramento Kings | +3.5 -115 | O 239.5 -105 | +135 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | -3.5 -105 | U 239.5 -115 | -160 |
Thunder vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Thunder.
Thunder vs Kings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.
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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 43 away games (+14.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 away games (+10.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 away games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 away games (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games at home (+15.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+13.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games (+12.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+12.15 Units / 33% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 27-23 (+1.55 Units / 2.74% ROI).
- 30-21 against the Moneyline (-17.05 Units / -14.87% ROI)
- 26-24 against the Over for game total points (-0.4 Units / -0.71% ROI)
- 24-26 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -8.2% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 31-20 (+8.95 Units / 15.66% ROI).
- 35-17 against the Moneyline (+9.75 Units / 7.3% ROI)
- 29-22 against the Over for game total points (+4.8 Units / 8.38% ROI)
- 22-29 against the Under for game total points (-9.8 Units / -17.16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.95 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 39 games at home (-19.15 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 81 games (-13.85 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 78 games (-13.20 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 80 games (-13.05 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 70 games (-36.05 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 80 games (-24.95 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 78 games (-19.00 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 70 games (-15.55 Units / -13% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 26 away games (-14.20 Units / -49% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Kings were 23-12 (.657) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531
The Kings are 25-13 (.658) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223
The Kings were 29-17 (.630) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Thunder are 31-9 (.775) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed 117.9 points per game this season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.
The Thunder are undefeated (12-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .650
The Thunder are 38-13 (.745) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-10th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.
The Thunder are 22-15 (.595) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .490
Injury Report: Thunder vs. Kings – Sunday‘s Game, Feb. 11
- Isaiah Joe (Oklahoma City Thunder): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision
- Jalen Williams (Oklahoma City Thunder): Ankle, Game Time Decision
- Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Game Time Decision
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Kings are shooting 73% from the free throw line (818/1,119) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (362/879) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (347/860) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (571 points/52 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Kings have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (473 blocks/133 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Kings allowed 10.9 points in the paint per game (698 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.8
The Kings have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (231 blocks/65 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (343 blocks/52 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Thunder have allowed 19.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,000 rebounds/52 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5
The Thunder have allowed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (507 rebounds/52 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0
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