Kings vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 11, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -3.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK | NSCA

The Sacramento Kings visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Kings vs Thunder Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 27-23 against the spread, while the Thunder are 31-20 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+3.5 -115O 239.5 -105+135
Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 -105U 239.5 -115-160

Thunder vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Thunder.

Thunder vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 43 away games (+14.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 away games (+10.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 away games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 away games (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games at home (+15.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+13.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games (+12.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+12.15 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 27-23 (+1.55 Units / 2.74% ROI).

  • 30-21 against the Moneyline (-17.05 Units / -14.87% ROI)
  • 26-24 against the Over for game total points (-0.4 Units / -0.71% ROI)
  • 24-26 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -8.2% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 31-20 (+8.95 Units / 15.66% ROI).

  • 35-17 against the Moneyline (+9.75 Units / 7.3% ROI)
  • 29-22 against the Over for game total points (+4.8 Units / 8.38% ROI)
  • 22-29 against the Under for game total points (-9.8 Units / -17.16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 39 games at home (-19.15 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 81 games (-13.85 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 78 games (-13.20 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 80 games (-13.05 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 70 games (-36.05 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 80 games (-24.95 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 78 games (-19.00 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 70 games (-15.55 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 26 away games (-14.20 Units / -49% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Kings were 23-12 (.657) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Kings are 25-13 (.658) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings were 29-17 (.630) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Thunder are 31-9 (.775) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed 117.9 points per game this season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder are undefeated (12-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .650

The Thunder are 38-13 (.745) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-10th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder are 22-15 (.595) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .490

Injury Report: Thunder vs. KingsSunday‘s Game, Feb. 11

  • Isaiah Joe (Oklahoma City Thunder): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Williams (Oklahoma City Thunder): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings are shooting 73% from the free throw line (818/1,119) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (362/879) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (347/860) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (571 points/52 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (473 blocks/133 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings allowed 10.9 points in the paint per game (698 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.8

The Kings have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (231 blocks/65 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (343 blocks/52 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Thunder have allowed 19.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,000 rebounds/52 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5

The Thunder have allowed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (507 rebounds/52 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.