Kings vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -6.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | NSCA

The Sacramento Kings visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Kings vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 29-28 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 30-28 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+6.5 -115O 224.5 -105+200
Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5 -105U 224.5 -115-250

Timberwolves vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Friday‘s game with 76.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 31 away games (+14.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 away games (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 45 away games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 42 away games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games at home (+19.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 80 games (+19.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 46 of their last 74 games (+15.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 41 of their last 69 games (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.25 Units / 44% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 29-28 (-1.9 Units / -2.96% ROI).

  • 33-25 against the Moneyline (-18.45 Units / -14.48% ROI)
  • 29-27 against the Over for game total points (-0.7 Units / -1.1% ROI)
  • 27-29 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -7.68% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 30-28 (-0.85 Units / -1.3% ROI).

  • 42-17 against the Moneyline (+7 Units / 3.79% ROI)
  • 28-30 against the Over for game total points (-5 Units / -7.7% ROI)
  • 30-28 against the Under for game total points (-0.75 Units / -1.16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-28.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 74 games (-22.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games at home (-19.00 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-17.00 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 53 games (-15.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 77 games (-37.45 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 86 games (-21.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 85 games (-20.25 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 31 away games (-17.55 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 77 games (-17.20 Units / -13% ROI)

Jump to:

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings are 22-1 (.957) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .793

The Kings are 19-3 (.864) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .780

The Kings were 35-5 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Timberwolves are 25-3 (.893) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — 8th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 19-6 (.760) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — T-9th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three this season — worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are winless (0-6) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Timberwolves are 32-8 (.800) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed 117.8 points per game this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. KingsFriday‘s Game, Mar. 1

  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings are shooting 73% from the free throw line (827/1,132) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Kings averaged 1.37 points per shot (9,898 points/7,234 shots) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (327/830) in the first half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Timberwolves averaged 12.3 second chance points per game (1,011 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Timberwolves averaged 15.3 turnovers per game (1,258 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 4th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 points in the paint per game (698 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.8

The Kings have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (478 blocks/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings have allowed 4.8 fast break points per game (637 points/134 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 6.6

The Kings have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (231 blocks/65 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 47% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (308 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.