- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max
The Sacramento Kings visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco, CA, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Kings vs Warriors Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Kings are 28-33 against the spread, while the Warriors are 34-30 against the spread.
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Kings vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Sacramento Kings | O | ||
| Golden State Warriors | U |
Warriors vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Thursday‘s game with 79.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Warriors.
Warriors vs Kings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 58.9% confidence.
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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+12.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 3Q Spread in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 26 games (+13.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+8.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 28-33 (-8.3 Units / -11.79% ROI).
- 33-31 against the Moneyline (-14.7 Units / -9.55% ROI)
- 34-29 against the Over for game total points (+2.1 Units / 2.99% ROI)
- 29-34 against the Under for game total points (-8.45 Units / -11.99% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 34-30 (+0.9 Units / 1.26% ROI).
- 37-28 against the Moneyline (-7.4 Units / -4.63% ROI)
- 33-32 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.08% ROI)
- 32-33 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units / -6.01% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 55 games (-32.70 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-22.37 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 66 games (-19.65 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 49 games (-19.65 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 48 games (-19.10 Units / -34% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 59 games (-23.75 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-23.57 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 80 games (-21.60 Units / -10% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 20 of their last 59 games (-20.87 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 59 games (-17.65 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Kings are winless (0-11) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188
The Kings are 9-11 (.450) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .533
The Kings were 14-6 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Kings were 17-2 (.895) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Warriors are undefeated (8-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .747
The Warriors are 29-3 (.906) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .837
The Warriors are 16-3 (.842) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .533
The Warriors are 19-1 (.950) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .814
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have a 22% free throw rate (1,466 free throw attempts/6,785 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%
The Kings have averaged 14.8 second chance points per game (944 points/64 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2
The Kings averaged 116.6 points per game (9,558 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Kings had 20.9 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 22% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,644 free throw attempts/7,515 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%
The Warriors have made 14.8 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Warriors averaged 6.2 fast break points per game (506 points/82 games) in the first half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings averaged 4.2 blocks per game (342 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Kings have allowed 5.7 second chance points per game (828 points/146 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,335 rebounds/147 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Warriors have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (701 blocks/147 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors have averaged 8.2 steals per game (607 steals/74 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
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