Kings vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 21, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Kings are -10.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSCA | MNMT

The Sacramento Kings visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Washington, DC.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Kings vs Wizards Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 34-33 against the spread, while the Wizards are 30-38 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings-10.5 -115O 238.5 -115-650
Washington Wizards +10.5 -105U 238.5 -105+450

Wizards vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Thursday‘s game with 88.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Wizards.

Wizards vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 away games (+12.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 43 away games (+10.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 away games (+9.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 away games (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 45 of their last 79 games (+9.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+9.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 34-33 (-2.25 Units / -3.01% ROI).

  • 40-28 against the Moneyline (-16.85 Units / -10.66% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.41% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 30-38 (-11.8 Units / -15.55% ROI).

  • 11-58 against the Moneyline (-39.4 Units / -54.87% ROI)
  • 35-33 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -1.71% ROI)
  • 33-35 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -7.25% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 75 games (-42.90 Units / -55% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 62 games (-20.75 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 10 of their last 33 games at home (-15.30 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 63 games (-14.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 16 games at home (-14.85 Units / -87% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 85 games (-20.85 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 34 away games (-17.65 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 43 away games (-13.60 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 58 games (-12.90 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 72 games (-12.70 Units / -15% ROI)

Jump to:

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Kings were 26-5 (.839) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings were 13-7 (.650) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Kings are 15-5 (.750) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .677

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Wizards are 2-35 (.054) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

The Wizards are 5-41 (.109) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Wizards are 12-61 (.164) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .439

The Wizards are 5-18 (.217) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

Injury Report: Wizards vs. KingsThursday‘s Game, Mar. 21

  • Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Out
  • Deni Avdija (Washington Wizards): Heel, Out
  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,058 assists/ 548 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 19.1 fast break points per game (707 points/37 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have averaged 9.2 fast break points per game (637 points/69 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 5.0 second chance points per game (344 points/69 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Wizards have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (1,221 points/69 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have allowed 5.4 second chance points per game (368 points/68 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Kings have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (552 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (277 blocks/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

Home Team Defense Stories


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.