Knicks vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 6

  • The Lakers are -3.5 favorites vs. the Knicks
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | Max

The New York Knicks visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Los Angeles, CA, USA.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Knicks vs Lakers Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 27-32 against the spread, while the Lakers are 34-25 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks+3.5 -110O 230.5 -105+135
Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 -110U 230.5 -115-160

Lakers vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Thursday‘s game with 66.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Knicks and Lakers.

Lakers vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 89 games (+18.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 52 of their last 86 games (+15.46 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 60 games (+9.61 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 51 of their last 74 games (+26.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1H Spread in 44 of their last 67 games (+18.27 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 80 games (+18.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games at home (+14.87 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+14.20 Units / 43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 27-32 (-8.2 Units / -12.22% ROI).

  • 40-21 against the Moneyline (-5.5 Units / -2.82% ROI)
  • 34-26 against the Over for game total points (+5.4 Units / 8.05% ROI)
  • 26-34 against the Under for game total points (-11.45 Units / -17.05% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 34-25 (+6.5 Units / 9.86% ROI).

  • 39-21 against the Moneyline (+9.75 Units / 7.41% ROI)
  • 28-32 against the Over for game total points (-7.2 Units / -10.92% ROI)
  • 32-28 against the Under for game total points (+1.15 Units / 1.74% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 68 games (-22.32 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 69 games (-21.45 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 75 games (-20.02 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 71 games (-19.62 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 57 games (-16.52 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 88 games (-34.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 84 games (-31.15 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 89 games (-27.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 88 games (-27.48 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 86 games (-27.30 Units / -28% ROI)

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New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Knicks were 14-3 (.824) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Knicks are 20-2 (.909) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .699

The Knicks are 10-6 (.625) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Knicks are 67-27 (.713) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have averaged 50.9 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-8th-lowest in the NBA.

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Lakers are 17-5 (.773) when winning the rebounding margin this season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Knicks have averaged 50.9 rebounds/game this season — 6th-lowest in the NBA.

The Lakers are 14-2 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .699

The Lakers are 13-6 (.684) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Lakers are 15-4 (.789) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 19.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,557 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Knicks averaged 15.9 second chance points per game (650 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Knicks have an eFG% of 56% this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Knicks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,669 assists/ 801 TOs) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (860 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Lakers have averaged 28.9 points in the paint per game (4,102 points/142 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (239 blocks/61 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Knicks have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (426/1,071) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Knicks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (274 blocks/70 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Knicks averaged 4.1 blocks per game (336 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,160 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers have averaged 7.5 steals per game (1,070 steals/142 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Lakers have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,113 rebounds/60 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4


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