Knicks vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 25, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Nuggets are -3.5 favorites vs. the Knicks
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on MSG | ALT

The New York Knicks visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Knicks vs Nuggets Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 7-8 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 6-8 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks+3.5 -105O 231.5 -110+145
Denver Nuggets -3.5 -115U 231.5 -110-175

Nuggets vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 68.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Knicks and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 55.1% confidence.


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  • The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 41 games (+19.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 62 games (+13.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 41 games (+12.77 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.33 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 93 games (+12.60 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+10.49 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 7-8 (-1.8 Units / -10.23% ROI).

  • 9-7 against the Moneyline (-6.2 Units / -13.76% ROI)
  • 9-7 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI)
  • 7-9 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 6-8 (-2.8 Units / -16.97% ROI).

  • 9-6 against the Moneyline (+2.05 Units / 6.39% ROI)
  • 10-5 against the Over for game total points (+4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 5-10 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 80 games (-33.60 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 71 games (-17.23 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 28 games at home (-16.48 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 30 games (-15.90 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 80 games (-15.75 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-26.60 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 96 games (-25.73 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 41 games (-25.52 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 62 games (-23.05 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 86 games (-20.55 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Knicks are 9-3 (.750) when scoring 110 or more points this season — T-9th-best in the NBA. The Nuggets have allowed 114.7 points per game this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Knicks are 9-3 (.750) when scoring 110 or more points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .652

The Knicks are 47-15 (.758) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .658

The Knicks are 35-16 (.686) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Nuggets were 53-21 (.716) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Nuggets were 47-22 (.681) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Nuggets are 28-7 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .581

The Nuggets are winless (0-10) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .112

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have a TS% of 55% this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Knicks have a TS% of 55% on the road this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Knicks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (1,512 points/180 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Knicks have 18.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.5

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 15.0 assists per game (225 assists/15 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

The Nuggets have averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (166 points/15 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,870 assists/ 1,254 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Nuggets are shooting 50% (7,827/15,713) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have allowed opponents to shoot 49% from three (33/67) in close and late situations this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%

The Knicks have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (558 rebounds/16 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Knicks have allowed an eFG% of 66% in close and late situations this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 53%

The Knicks have allowed an average of 1.67 points per shot (245 points/147 shots) in close and late situations this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 8.7 steals per game (131 steals/15 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Nuggets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (71 blocks/15 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.