Knicks vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 15

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ABC | ESPN+

The New York Knicks visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in San Francisco, CA, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Knicks vs Warriors Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 28-35 against the spread, while the Warriors are 35-30 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks O
Golden State Warriors U

Warriors vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Saturday‘s game with 72.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Knicks and Warriors.

Warriors vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 67.1% confidence.


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  • The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 93 games (+16.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 54 of their last 90 games (+15.21 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 58 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 64 games (+9.21 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 27 games (+14.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+9.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 28-35 (-10.5 Units / -14.69% ROI).

  • 42-23 against the Moneyline (-5.5 Units / -2.75% ROI)
  • 35-29 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 4.34% ROI)
  • 29-35 against the Under for game total points (-9.55 Units / -13.35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 35-30 (+1.9 Units / 2.61% ROI).

  • 38-28 against the Moneyline (-6.4 Units / -3.93% ROI)
  • 34-32 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -1.65% ROI)
  • 32-34 against the Under for game total points (-5.4 Units / -7.44% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 56 games (-31.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-23.57 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-18.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 67 games (-18.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 92 games (-34.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 88 games (-31.45 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 90 games (-27.45 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 93 games (-25.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 92 games (-25.38 Units / -13% ROI)

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New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Knicks are 10-6 (.625) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

The Knicks are 19-8 (.704) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Knicks are 57-32 (.640) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Knicks are 23-12 (.657) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Warriors are 9-0 (1.000) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best in the NBA. The Knicks have allowed opponents to shoot 47% this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors are 16-3 (.842) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

The Warriors are 18-4 (.818) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Warriors are 21-14 (.600) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 24.4 assists per game (1,998 assists/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Knicks have made 12.7 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Knicks averaged 12.5 assists per game (1,028 assists/82 games) in the first half last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Knicks have averaged 53.0 points in the paint per game (3,444 points/65 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.8

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 15.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

The Warriors are shooting 43% (1,321/3,085) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Warriors have averaged 14.4 fast break points per game (950 points/66 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Warriors averaged 22% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,644 free throw attempts/7,515 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (253 blocks/65 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Knicks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,242 rebounds/65 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Knicks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (589 blocks/147 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Knicks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (288 blocks/74 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 9.0 steals per game (595 steals/66 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,372 rebounds/148 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Warriors have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (359 blocks/74 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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