- The Nuggets are -6.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
- Total (Over/Under): 243.5 points
- Watch the game on ABC | ESPN+
The Los Angeles Lakers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Denver, CO, USA.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Lakers vs Nuggets Over/Under is 243.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 29-24 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 29-26 against the spread.
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Lakers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Los Angeles Lakers | +6.5 -110 | O 243.5 -105 | +200 |
| Denver Nuggets | -6.5 -110 | U 243.5 -115 | -250 |
Nuggets vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 69.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Lakers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 56.3% confidence.
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Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 68 games (+19.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 61 games (+12.27 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 61 games (+11.78 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 83 games (+11.40 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 49 games at home (+18.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.47 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+14.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games (+14.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+13.55 Units / 24% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 29-24 (+2.6 Units / 4.38% ROI).
- 33-21 against the Moneyline (+2.6 Units / 2.19% ROI)
- 27-27 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 27-27 against the Under for game total points (-2.75 Units / -4.63% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 29-26 (+0.4 Units / 0.65% ROI).
- 37-19 against the Moneyline (+3.05 Units / 1.84% ROI)
- 35-21 against the Over for game total points (+11.9 Units / 19.32% ROI)
- 21-35 against the Under for game total points (-17.5 Units / -28.41% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 71 games (-26.90 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 90 games (-26.05 Units / -12% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-23.30 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 89 games (-23.05 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 95 games (-22.85 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 62 games (-21.47 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 63 games (-21.05 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 86 games (-19.82 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 57 games (-18.15 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 65 games (-16.97 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Lakers are 13-7 (.650) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .522
The Lakers were 11-5 (.688) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Lakers are 43-21 (.672) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Lakers are winless (0-10) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .092
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Nuggets are 37-18 (.673) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Nuggets are 45-14 (.763) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Nuggets are 46-11 (.807) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.
The Nuggets were 53-21 (.716) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4
The Lakers have averaged 10.7 second chance points per game (729 points/68 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers have averaged 5.0 second chance points per game (676 points/136 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (606 points/56 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 29.3 points in the paint per game (4,038 points/138 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1
The Nuggets have averaged 62.4 points in the paint per game (1,746 points/28 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3
The Nuggets are shooting 50% (6,179/12,322) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have allowed a TS% of 55% in close and late situations this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49%
The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,897 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Lakers have averaged 7.5 steals per game (407 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,080 rebounds/56 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Nuggets have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,620 rebounds/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have blocked 725 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th most among NBA teams
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