Lakers vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 14

  • The Nuggets are -14.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | SPEC | ALT

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Denver, CO, USA.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-115).

The Lakers vs Nuggets Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 35-28 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 32-33 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+14.5 -105O 227.5 -105+700
Denver Nuggets -14.5 -115U 227.5 -115-1100

Nuggets vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 62.9% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 51 of their last 78 games (+21.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 20 of their last 24 games (+15.35 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+15.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 84 games (+15.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1H Spread in 44 of their last 71 games (+13.52 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 30 games at home (+17.05 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+13.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+12.27 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+11.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+10.72 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 35-28 (+4.2 Units / 5.97% ROI).

  • 40-24 against the Moneyline (+6.55 Units / 4.77% ROI)
  • 30-34 against the Over for game total points (-7.4 Units / -10.52% ROI)
  • 34-30 against the Under for game total points (+0.95 Units / 1.35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 32-33 (-4.3 Units / -5.92% ROI).

  • 42-24 against the Moneyline (+3.3 Units / 1.8% ROI)
  • 38-28 against the Over for game total points (+7.2 Units / 9.92% ROI)
  • 28-38 against the Under for game total points (-13.8 Units / -19.01% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 88 games (-28.45 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 81 games (-26.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 64 games (-26.00 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 88 games (-24.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 90 games (-19.75 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 73 games (-24.90 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 72 games (-24.87 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 75 games (-21.97 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 70 games (-20.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 79 games (-18.22 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Lakers are 32-8 (.800) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Nuggets have allowed 116.6 points per game this season — 7th-worst in the NBA.

The Lakers are 14-3 (.824) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Lakers are 36-20 (.643) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508

The Lakers are 61-33 (.649) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Nuggets were 25-8 (.758) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets are 32-10 (.762) when winning the rebounding margin this season — T-6th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have averaged 50.7 rebounds/game this season — T-5th-lowest in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 32-10 (.762) when winning the rebounding margin this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 5.0 second chance points per game (723 points/145 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 10.9 second chance points per game (435 points/40 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Lakers have averaged 11.2 second chance points per game (1,623 points/145 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 61.0 points in the paint per game (2,074 points/34 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.5

The Nuggets have averaged 19.8 fast break points per game (1,310 points/66 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Nuggets have averaged 30.7 points in the paint per game (2,024 points/66 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.5

The Nuggets have averaged 10.7 fast break points per game (709 points/66 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (753 blocks/145 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Lakers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,278 rebounds/145 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers have averaged 7.7 steals per game (482 steals/63 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets blocked 457 shots last season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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