Lakers vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 29, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pacers are -3.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 243.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSIN | SPEC | NBAt

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Lakers vs Pacers Over/Under is 244.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 35-39 against the spread, while the Pacers are 39-33 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+4.5 -115O 244.5 -110+150
Indiana Pacers -4.5 -105U 244.5 -110-185

Pacers vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Friday‘s game with 60.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Pacers.

Pacers vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 93 games (+22.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+19.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 46 away games (+16.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 47 away games (+15.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 44 away games (+14.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 48 games (+17.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+8.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games (+8.75 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 35-39 (-7.9 Units / -9.71% ROI).

  • 42-32 against the Moneyline (+13.65 Units / 9.51% ROI)
  • 41-32 against the Over for game total points (+5.8 Units / 7.12% ROI)
  • 32-41 against the Under for game total points (-13.05 Units / -16.04% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 39-33 (+2.7 Units / 3.27% ROI).

  • 41-34 against the Moneyline (-3.25 Units / -2.33% ROI)
  • 35-38 against the Over for game total points (-6.85 Units / -8.41% ROI)
  • 38-35 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.61% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 64 games (-27.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 48 games (-24.45 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-20.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 71 games (-19.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 93 games (-35.45 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 97 games (-23.65 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 94 games (-22.15 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 86 games (-22.15 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 40 of their last 97 games (-21.55 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Lakers are 23-8 (.742) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 49.2 rebounds/game this season — 4th-lowest in the NBA.

The Lakers are 4-11 (.267) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .403

The Lakers are 16-1 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Lakers are winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .091

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Pacers were 1-3 (.250) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Pacers are 2-8 (.200) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .400

The Pacers were 18-26 (.409) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pacers were 6-10 (.375) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Pacers vs. LakersFriday‘s Game, Mar. 29

  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.8 second chance points per game (348 points/73 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 10.6 second chance points per game (362 points/34 games) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Lakers have averaged 16.7 fast break points per game (2,583 points/155 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Lakers have averaged 10.2 second chance points per game (397 points/39 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 17.3 fast break points per game (2,695 points/156 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Pacers have averaged 61.6 points per game (4,559 points/74 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.7

The Pacers have averaged 57.7 points in the paint per game (2,194 points/38 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

The Pacers have averaged 57.5 points in the paint per game (4,252 points/74 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.4

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,833 rebounds/155 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (408 blocks/73 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,717 rebounds/73 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (430 blocks/74 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Pacers have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,211 rebounds/156 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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