Lakers vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 14, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Pelicans are -3.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSNO | SPEC | ESPN

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Lakers vs Pelicans Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 38-44 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 43-36 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+1.5 -110O 232.5 -115+100
New Orleans Pelicans -1.5 -110U 232.5 -105-120

Pelicans vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Sunday‘s game with 61.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 63 of their last 98 games (+22.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+21.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games (+15.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+12.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 54 of their last 77 games (+27.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 77 games (+23.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 45 of their last 71 games (+16.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 49 games (+14.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 38-44 (-10.4 Units / -11.53% ROI).

  • 47-35 against the Moneyline (+15.65 Units / 8.61% ROI)
  • 46-35 against the Over for game total points (+7.5 Units / 8.31% ROI)
  • 35-46 against the Under for game total points (-15.55 Units / -17.25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 43-36 (+3.4 Units / 3.82% ROI).

  • 49-32 against the Moneyline (+4.9 Units / 2.57% ROI)
  • 35-46 against the Over for game total points (-15.6 Units / -17.51% ROI)
  • 46-35 against the Under for game total points (+7.5 Units / 8.42% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 71 games (-21.70 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 68 games (-18.35 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.25 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 26 games at home (-16.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 70 games (-16.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 98 games (-36.95 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 80 games (-27.20 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 94 games (-24.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 42 of their last 98 games (-21.80 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 66 games (-21.05 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Lakers are 25-11 (.694) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Lakers were 17-26 (.395) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Lakers are 31-16 (.660) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Lakers are 14-4 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 13.6 made three-pointers per game this season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Pelicans are 43-15 (.741) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed 117.6 points per game this season — 8th-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Pelicans are 18-2 (.900) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed 14.3 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans were 13-2 (.867) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. LakersSunday‘s Game, Apr. 14

  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (380 points/81 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 29.9 points in the paint per game (2,420 points/81 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers have averaged 16.8 fast break points per game (2,740 points/163 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Pelicans are shooting 49% (3,443/7,078) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pelicans made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Pelicans averaged 53.3 points in the paint per game (4,372 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,127 rebounds/163 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers averaged 6.4 steals per game (526 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Lakers have averaged 6.9 steals per game (1,119 steals/163 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (1,040/3,116) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 4.1 blocks per game (337 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (676 steals/81 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.