Lakers vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 16, 2024, 3:30 PM
  • The Lakers are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on SPEC | GCSE

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Lakers vs Pelicans Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 7-5 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 3-10 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers-7.5 -110O 220.5 -115-300
New Orleans Pelicans +7.5 -110U 220.5 -105+240

Pelicans vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Saturday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 51 games (+22.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 61 games (+15.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 48 of their last 79 games (+14.37 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+13.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 83 games (+13.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 57 of their last 90 games (+20.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 55 of their last 90 games (+16.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 70 games (+15.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 70 games (+13.76 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 57 games (+12.13 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 7-5 (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 8-4 against the Moneyline (+2.1 Units / 8.25% ROI)
  • 7-5 against the Over for game total points (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI)
  • 5-7 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 3-10 (-8 Units / -55.94% ROI).

  • 4-9 against the Moneyline (-6.25 Units / -36.02% ROI)
  • 7-5 against the Over for game total points (+1.5 Units / 10.49% ROI)
  • 5-7 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -18.88% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 90 games (-25.85 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-22.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 88 games (-21.95 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-21.15 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 38 games at home (-20.45 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 85 games (-26.30 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 85 games (-25.20 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 84 games (-21.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 89 games (-21.35 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 85 games (-20.95 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Lakers are 16-5 (.762) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 13.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.

The Lakers are 7-4 (.636) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .492

The Lakers are 30-13 (.698) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Lakers are 28-9 (.757) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .684

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Pelicans are 18-4 (.818) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed 14.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 21-8 (.724) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Pelicans were 19-6 (.760) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Pelicans are 32-15 (.681) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. LakersSaturday‘s Game, Nov. 16

  • New Orleans Pelicans – No Injuries Reported
  • Los Angeles Lakers – No Injuries Reported

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (442 points/94 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (860 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 1.14 points per shot (579 points/508 shots) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Pelicans have averaged 19.8 offensive rebounds per game (257 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.3

The Pelicans have averaged 13.5 fast break points per game (176 points/13 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4

The Pelicans have averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,366 points/1,149 shots) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (411 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Lakers have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (54 blocks/12 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (6,574 rebounds/176 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 32.4 defensive rebounds per game (421 rebounds/13 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,133/3,381) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 8.7 steals per game (410 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (558/1,639) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%


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