Lakers vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 27, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Lakers are -2.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on SPEC | FDSW

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Antonio, TX.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Lakers vs Spurs Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 7-10 against the spread, while the Spurs are 10-8 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers-1.5 -115O 228.5 -115-135
San Antonio Spurs +1.5 -105U 228.5 -105+110

Spurs vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Wednesday‘s game with 58.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Spurs.

Spurs vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 56 games (+19.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 66 games (+15.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 50 of their last 84 games (+12.97 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.33 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 67 games (+25.94 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 41 games (+24.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 44 of their last 67 games (+18.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 78 games (+14.36 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the Spread in 42 of their last 68 games (+13.40 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 7-10 (-4 Units / -21.39% ROI).

  • 10-7 against the Moneyline (-0.8 Units / -2.06% ROI)
  • 9-8 against the Over for game total points (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI)
  • 8-9 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 10-8 (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 10-8 against the Moneyline (+4.55 Units / 18.35% ROI)
  • 9-9 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 9-9 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 83 games (-23.78 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.17 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-19.55 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 58 games (-17.52 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 79 games (-17.45 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 89 games (-27.50 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 84 games (-25.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-22.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-19.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 68 games (-17.45 Units / -23% ROI)

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Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Lakers are winless (0-7) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090

The Lakers were 11-5 (.688) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Lakers are 10-4 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .605

The Lakers are 16-6 (.727) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Spurs are 4-66 (.057) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .307

The Spurs are 8-35 (.186) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413

The Spurs are 4-19 (.174) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .417

The Spurs are 21-62 (.253) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.8 second chance points per game (467 points/98 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 29.9 points in the paint per game (2,934 points/98 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Lakers averaged 55.6 points in the paint per game (4,556 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 1.20 points per shot (9,664 points/8,057 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs shot 34% from three (519/1,511) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2

The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (20,327 points/16,487 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,575 rebounds/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (528 rebounds/16 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 54% (113/210) in close and late situations this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 46%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have averaged 7.4 steals per game (125 steals/17 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Spurs have blocked 115 shots this season — tied for 3rd most among NBA teams

The Spurs have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (633 rebounds/17 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.