Lakers vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2024, 9:01 AM
  • The Suns are -3.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | SPEC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Lakers vs Suns Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 7-9 against the spread, while the Suns are 5-11 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+3.5 -115O 234.5 -110+125
Phoenix Suns -3.5 -105U 234.5 -110-155

Suns vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Tuesday‘s game with 79.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Suns.

Suns vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 55 games (+20.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 games (+16.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games (+12.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 83 games (+11.97 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 86 games (+15.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+8.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+8.63 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.10 Units / 34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 7-9 (-2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI).

  • 10-6 against the Moneyline (+0.2 Units / 0.53% ROI)
  • 9-7 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI)
  • 7-9 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 5-11 (-7.1 Units / -40.34% ROI).

  • 9-7 against the Moneyline (+2.65 Units / 8.72% ROI)
  • 10-6 against the Over for game total points (+3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI)
  • 6-10 against the Under for game total points (-5 Units / -28.41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 85 games (-29.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 86 games (-27.53 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 85 games (-27.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 43 games at home (-22.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-22.82 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 88 games (-26.30 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-24.05 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 87 games (-23.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-20.75 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 67 games (-18.45 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Lakers are 28-15 (.651) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Lakers are 8-5 (.615) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495

The Lakers are 21-1 (.955) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Lakers were 23-13 (.639) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Suns are 24-8 (.750) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed 14.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

The Suns were 17-9 (.654) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Suns were 18-5 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Suns are 16-5 (.762) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .605

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.8 second chance points per game (467 points/98 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 16.9 fast break points per game (3,037 points/180 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (565 points/98 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns had a TS% of 53% last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Suns averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,758 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Suns averaged 12.9 second chance points per game (1,056 points/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (528 rebounds/16 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Lakers have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (248 blocks/47 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Lakers have allowed a TS% of 58% in close and late situations this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (3,553 rebounds/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (1,001 blocks/180 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (492 blocks/90 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Suns have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,408 rebounds/180 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.