Lakers vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 17, 2024, 1:28 PM
  • The Suns are -5.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | SPEC | KTVK

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Lakers vs Suns Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 1-3 against the spread, while the Suns are 3-1 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+5.5 -105O 220.5 -105+185
Phoenix Suns -5.5 -115U 220.5 -115-225

Suns vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Thursday‘s game with 75.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Suns.

Suns vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 58.2% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games (+20.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 49 games (+19.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+18.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 49 games (+12.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+11.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 71 games (+21.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+12.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.05 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Lakers have gone 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • 1-3 against the Moneyline (-1.6 Units / -40% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Suns have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 3-1 against the Moneyline (+2.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 85 games (-38.10 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 73 games (-32.10 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 69 games (-23.30 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-21.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 66 games (-19.05 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 88 games (-31.00 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 87 games (-23.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 87 games (-21.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 73 games (-18.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 72 games (-16.45 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Lakers were 14-4 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Lakers are winless (0-7) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090

The Lakers were 18-1 (.947) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Lakers were 25-11 (.694) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Suns were 18-5 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Lakers allowed 14.3 made three-pointers per game last season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Suns are 22-13 (.629) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .579

The Suns were 19-9 (.679) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Injury Report: Suns vs. LakersThursday‘s Game, Oct. 17

  • Phoenix Suns – No Injuries Reported
  • Los Angeles Lakers – No Injuries Reported

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers have averaged 16.8 fast break points per game (2,759 points/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (1,952 points/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns averaged 1.35 points per shot (9,532 points/7,063 shots) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Suns shot 37% from three (1,001/2,674) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,163 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers averaged 6.4 steals per game (526 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.