- The Warriors are -5.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
- Total (Over/Under): 243.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT
The Los Angeles Lakers visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).
The Lakers vs Warriors Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 27-30 against the spread, while the Warriors are 28-24 against the spread.
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Lakers vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Los Angeles Lakers | +5.5 -105 | O 242.5 -110 | +190 |
| Golden State Warriors | -5.5 -115 | U 242.5 -110 | -250 |
Warriors vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Thursday‘s game with 72.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Warriors.
Warriors vs Lakers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 40 away games (+19.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 44 away games (+18.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 76 games (+17.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 38 away games (+16.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 97 games (+15.80 Units / 8% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 46 games (+16.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 games (+13.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 27-30 (-6.1 Units / -9.71% ROI).
- 31-26 against the Moneyline (+7.5 Units / 6.87% ROI)
- 31-26 against the Over for game total points (+2.4 Units / 3.83% ROI)
- 26-31 against the Under for game total points (-8.15 Units / -12.99% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 28-24 (+1.6 Units / 2.74% ROI).
- 27-26 against the Moneyline (-4.15 Units / -4.25% ROI)
- 30-23 against the Over for game total points (+4.7 Units / 8.07% ROI)
- 23-30 against the Under for game total points (-10.05 Units / -17.22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 44 games at home (-20.80 Units / -43% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 48 games (-20.60 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 90 games (-20.20 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 66 games (-19.65 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games at home (-18.95 Units / -27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 76 games (-24.85 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 44 away games (-23.20 Units / -48% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 44 away games (-23.10 Units / -48% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 38 away games (-21.10 Units / -50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 94 games (-19.95 Units / -14% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Lakers were 17-26 (.395) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442
The Lakers were 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366
The Lakers are 33-30 (.524) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
The Lakers are 15-4 (.789) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Warriors have allowed 13.0 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Warriors were 7-11 (.389) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Warriors were 2-21 (.087) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263
The Warriors were 24-11 (.686) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Warriors are 17-4 (.810) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.
Injury Report: Warriors vs. Lakers – Thursday‘s Game, Feb. 22
- Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
- Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
- Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
- Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
- Max Christie (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 4.4 second chance points per game (237 points/54 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers have averaged 10.1 second chance points per game (272 points/27 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6
The Lakers had 26.6 free throw attempts per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0
The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6
The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0
The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,991 rebounds/54 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,107 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (302 blocks/54 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,870 rebounds/51 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (211 blocks/51 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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