Lakers vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 22

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Warriors are -5.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 243.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Lakers vs Warriors Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 27-30 against the spread, while the Warriors are 28-24 against the spread.


Bet now on Warriors vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM


Lakers vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+5.5 -105O 242.5 -110+190
Golden State Warriors -5.5 -115U 242.5 -110-250

Warriors vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Thursday‘s game with 72.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Warriors.

Warriors vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


Bet now on Warriors vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 40 away games (+19.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 44 away games (+18.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 76 games (+17.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 38 away games (+16.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 97 games (+15.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 46 games (+16.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 games (+13.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 27-30 (-6.1 Units / -9.71% ROI).

  • 31-26 against the Moneyline (+7.5 Units / 6.87% ROI)
  • 31-26 against the Over for game total points (+2.4 Units / 3.83% ROI)
  • 26-31 against the Under for game total points (-8.15 Units / -12.99% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 28-24 (+1.6 Units / 2.74% ROI).

  • 27-26 against the Moneyline (-4.15 Units / -4.25% ROI)
  • 30-23 against the Over for game total points (+4.7 Units / 8.07% ROI)
  • 23-30 against the Under for game total points (-10.05 Units / -17.22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 44 games at home (-20.80 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 48 games (-20.60 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 90 games (-20.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 66 games (-19.65 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games at home (-18.95 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 76 games (-24.85 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 44 away games (-23.20 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 44 away games (-23.10 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 38 away games (-21.10 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 94 games (-19.95 Units / -14% ROI)

Jump to:

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Lakers were 17-26 (.395) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Lakers were 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Lakers are 33-30 (.524) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Lakers are 15-4 (.789) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Warriors have allowed 13.0 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Warriors were 7-11 (.389) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Warriors were 2-21 (.087) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Warriors were 24-11 (.686) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Warriors are 17-4 (.810) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Warriors vs. LakersThursday‘s Game, Feb. 22

  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Max Christie (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.4 second chance points per game (237 points/54 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 10.1 second chance points per game (272 points/27 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers had 26.6 free throw attempts per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,991 rebounds/54 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,107 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (302 blocks/54 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,870 rebounds/51 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (211 blocks/51 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


Bet now on Warriors vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

betmgm-nco-jamie-foxx

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.