- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on ABC | ESPN+
The Los Angeles Lakers visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Francisco, CA, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Lakers vs Warriors Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 21-21 against the spread, while the Warriors are 22-22 against the spread.
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Lakers vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Los Angeles Lakers | O | ||
| Golden State Warriors | U |
Warriors vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Saturday‘s game with 64.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Warriors.
Warriors vs Lakers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 68.9% confidence.
Bet now on Warriors vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM
Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 81 games (+22.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 81 games (+16.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+11.98 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.75 Units / 59% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 84 games (+12.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.55 Units / 25% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 21-21 (-2.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 24-18 against the Moneyline (+1.7 Units / 2% ROI)
- 19-23 against the Over for game total points (-6.3 Units / -13.65% ROI)
- 23-19 against the Under for game total points (+2.05 Units / 4.43% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 22-22 (-2.3 Units / -4.74% ROI).
- 22-22 against the Moneyline (-13.15 Units / -14.55% ROI)
- 20-24 against the Over for game total points (-6.4 Units / -13.22% ROI)
- 24-20 against the Under for game total points (+2 Units / 4.13% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 69 games (-27.71 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games at home (-27.35 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-21.35 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-21.00 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 72 games (-19.50 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 79 games (-22.62 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 85 games (-18.10 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 39 games (-17.87 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 84 games (-16.02 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 85 games (-15.25 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Lakers were 9-4 (.692) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Lakers were 28-9 (.757) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
The Lakers are 10-4 (.714) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .623
The Lakers are 38-13 (.745) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Warriors are 7-1 (.875) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Warriors are 5-0 (1.000) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 47% this season — 7th-worst in the NBA.
The Warriors are 16-22 (.421) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450
The Warriors are 10-7 (.588) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .441
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4
The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers have averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (610 points/124 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (860 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 72% from the free throw line (617/859) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have 19.5 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Warriors have a 22% free throw rate (1,871 free throw attempts/8,511 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 7.5 steals per game (315 steals/42 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Lakers have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,968 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Lakers have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,487 rebounds/124 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,616 rebounds/126 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Warriors have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (608 blocks/126 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (231 blocks/44 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors have blocked 231 shots this season — 9th most among NBA teams
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