Lakers vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 18, 2024, 11:43 AM
  • The Warriors are -9.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2 | SPEC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Lakers vs Warriors Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 2-3 against the spread, while the Warriors are 4-1 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+9.5 -110O 218.5 -110+340
Golden State Warriors -9.5 -110U 218.5 -110-450

Warriors vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Warriors.

Warriors vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 64.9% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games (+20.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 49 games (+19.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+18.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 49 games (+12.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+11.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+7.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Lakers have gone 2-3 (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 2-3 against the Moneyline (+0.5 Units / 10% ROI)
  • 3-2 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • 2-3 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Warriors have gone 4-1 (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • 5-0 against the Moneyline (+4.05 Units / 77.59% ROI)
  • 1-4 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI)
  • 4-1 against the Under for game total points (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 77 games (-17.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 26 games at home (-17.55 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 41 games at home (-15.05 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games (-14.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 65 games (-13.75 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 88 games (-31.00 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 87 games (-23.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 87 games (-21.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 73 games (-18.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 72 games (-16.45 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Lakers were 14-4 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Lakers were 23-13 (.639) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Lakers were 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Lakers are winless (0-7) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Warriors were 28-4 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Lakers allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three last season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors were 24-11 (.686) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Warriors were 9-3 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Warriors were 8-12 (.400) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Warriors vs. LakersFriday‘s Game, Oct. 18

  • Golden State Warriors – No Injuries Reported
  • Los Angeles Lakers – No Injuries Reported

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (860 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (1,336 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,163 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers averaged 6.4 steals per game (526 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.