Magic vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 06, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat are -2.5 favorites vs. the Magic
  • Total (Over/Under): 212.5 points
  • Watch the game on SUN | BSFL

The Orlando Magic visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Magic vs Heat Over/Under is 213.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 33-17 against the spread, while the Heat are 22-28 against the spread.


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Magic vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orlando Magic+2.5 -105O 213.5 -110+125
Miami Heat -2.5 -115U 213.5 -110-150

Heat vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Tuesday‘s game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Magic and Heat, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Heat vs Magic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 54.6% confidence.


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  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 42 of their last 63 games (+19.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 78 games (+14.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 37 games (+14.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+13.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 74 games (+18.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 80 games (+17.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 83 games (+17.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 49 of their last 82 games (+17.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+14.90 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 33-17 (+14.4 Units / 26.28% ROI).

  • 27-23 against the Moneyline (+9.25 Units / 12.82% ROI)
  • 22-27 against the Over for game total points (-7.7 Units / -14% ROI)
  • 27-22 against the Under for game total points (+2.8 Units / 5.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 22-28 (-8.7 Units / -15.83% ROI).

  • 26-24 against the Moneyline (-4.45 Units / -5.46% ROI)
  • 20-30 against the Over for game total points (-13 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • 30-20 against the Under for game total points (+8 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 82 games (-25.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 96 games (-24.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 99 games (-23.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 59 games (-20.80 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 53 games (-20.75 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-19.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 32 games (-16.85 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 36 games (-14.20 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 36 away games (-13.65 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 78 games (-13.30 Units / -16% ROI)

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Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Magic were undefeated (5-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Magic are 5-10 (.333) when they lose the turnover margin this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Magic are 18-9 (.667) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Magic are 20-30 (.400) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Heat are 1-6 (.143) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .402

The Heat were 20-9 (.690) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Heat were 12-3 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Heat are 19-2 (.905) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .711

Injury Report: Heat vs. MagicTuesday‘s Game, Feb. 6

  • Duncan Robinson (Miami Heat): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
  • Jonathan Isaac (Orlando Magic): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision
  • Gary Harris (Orlando Magic): Calf, Out
  • Markelle Fultz (Orlando Magic): Knee, Out

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (892 assists/ 619 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (894 assists/ 584 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Magic have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,232 assists/ 724 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Magic have 26.1 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.8

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Heat have averaged 107.5 points per game (7,092 points/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.8

The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 8.2 steals per game (411 steals/50 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Magic have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,014 steals/132 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Magic have allowed 11.5 second chance points per game (253 points/22 games) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Magic have allowed 12.5 second chance points per game (627 points/50 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (405 blocks/132 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (162 blocks/50 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (201 blocks/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.