Magic vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 27

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDFL | SUN

The Orlando Magic visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Magic vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 23-22 against the spread, while the Heat are 19-25 against the spread.


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Magic vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orlando Magic O
Miami Heat U

Heat vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Magic will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Magic and Heat.

Heat vs Magic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 67.5% confidence.


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  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 58 games (+18.28 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 53 of their last 87 games (+16.58 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 80 games (+14.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.18 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 42 of their last 71 games (+12.07 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games (+8.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.11 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 87 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 73 games (+7.10 Units / 6% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 23-22 (-1.25 Units / -2.42% ROI).

  • 24-23 against the Moneyline (+0.6 Units / 0.69% ROI)
  • 19-28 against the Over for game total points (-11.8 Units / -22.82% ROI)
  • 28-19 against the Under for game total points (+7.1 Units / 13.73% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 19-25 (-8.5 Units / -17.56% ROI).

  • 22-22 against the Moneyline (-3.3 Units / -4.13% ROI)
  • 24-20 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 4.13% ROI)
  • 20-24 against the Under for game total points (-6.4 Units / -13.22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-19.78 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 76 games (-17.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 87 games (-16.35 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 65 games (-14.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games at home (-13.25 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 91 games (-29.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 74 games (-25.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 80 games (-22.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 77 games (-22.67 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 59 games (-21.75 Units / -29% ROI)

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Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Magic are 8-1 (.889) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Heat have allowed 13.7 made three-pointers per game this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.

The Magic were 17-9 (.654) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Magic are 5-19 (.208) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .352

The Magic are 6-5 (.545) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .439

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Heat were 2-6 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Heat are undefeated (14-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .903

The Heat are 14-1 (.933) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .821

The Heat are 38-14 (.731) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .588

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic are shooting 30% from three (526/1,722) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Magic are shooting 29% from three (248/852) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Magic have averaged 103.8 points per game (4,877 points/47 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.0

The Magic are shooting 33% from three (1,429/4,290) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 11.3 second chance points per game (499 points/44 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Heat have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game (1,442 points/126 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Heat are shooting 83% from the free throw line (1,747/2,102) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%

The Heat have averaged 53.2 points per game (9,892 points/186 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have allowed 11.0 made three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.5

The Magic have allowed 10.6 second chance points per game (499 points/47 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Magic have allowed 11.6 second chance points per game (1,493 points/129 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Magic have allowed 10.7 made three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.9

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (301 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.