Magic vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 23, 2024, 4:34 PM
  • The Heat are -1.5 favorites vs. the Magic
  • Total (Over/Under): 208.5 points
  • Watch the game on SUN | FDFL

The Orlando Magic visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami, FL.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Magic vs Heat Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 1-1 against the spread, while the Heat are 2-3 against the spread.


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Magic vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orlando Magic+1.5 -105O 208.5 -115+105
Miami Heat -1.5 -115U 208.5 -105-130

Heat vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Magic and Heat.

Heat vs Magic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 79 games (+17.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 55 of their last 89 games (+17.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 68 games (+16.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 76 games (+14.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+14.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+12.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 88 games (+12.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+11.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Magic have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -3.03% ROI).

  • 1-2 against the Moneyline (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • 0-2 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -66.67% ROI)
  • 2-0 against the Under for game total points (+2 Units / 60.61% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Heat have gone 2-3 (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 4-1 against the Moneyline (+5.4 Units / 86.4% ROI)
  • 3-1 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI)
  • 1-3 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 59 games (-24.15 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 58 games (-19.90 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 60 games (-19.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 61 games (-18.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-17.95 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 81 games (-29.45 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 68 games (-26.20 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 80 games (-25.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 74 games (-24.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-21.90 Units / -26% ROI)

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Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Magic were undefeated (5-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Magic were 17-9 (.654) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Magic were 20-22 (.476) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Magic were 13-29 (.310) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Heat were 19-10 (.655) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Heat were 2-6 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Heat were 14-2 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Heat were 10-1 (.909) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

Injury Report: Heat vs. MagicWednesday‘s Game, Oct. 23

  • Miami Heat – No Injuries Reported
  • Orlando Magic – No Injuries Reported

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (892 assists/ 619 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,858 assists/ 1,206 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic averaged 21.8 assists per game (892 assists/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Magic made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Heat averaged 111.4 points per game (4,569 points/41 games) at home last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat averaged 5.4 second chance points per game (441 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,817 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Magic allowed 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (1,202 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2

The Magic have averaged 7.8 steals per game (1,272 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Magic averaged 8.2 steals per game (669 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (265 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (258 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (523 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.