- The Nuggets are -7.5 favorites vs. the Magic
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
- Watch the game on FDFL | AL2
The Orlando Magic visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO, USA.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Magic vs Nuggets Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Magic are 24-26 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 25-25 against the spread.
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Magic vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orlando Magic | +6.5 -110 | O 218.5 -110 | +200 |
| Denver Nuggets | -6.5 -110 | U 218.5 -110 | -250 |
Nuggets vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Magic and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Magic Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.
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Magic Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 41 of their last 63 games (+16.83 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 85 games (+15.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 54 of their last 91 games (+14.13 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 55 games (+14.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.40 Units / 44% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 45 games at home (+19.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+17.47 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+12.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games at home (+11.70 Units / 22% ROI)
Orlando Magic Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 24-26 (-4.65 Units / -8.13% ROI).
- 25-27 against the Moneyline (-3.8 Units / -4.03% ROI)
- 21-31 against the Over for game total points (-13.1 Units / -22.9% ROI)
- 31-21 against the Under for game total points (+7.9 Units / 13.81% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 25-25 (-2.5 Units / -4.46% ROI).
- 32-19 against the Moneyline (-1.95 Units / -1.44% ROI)
- 32-19 against the Over for game total points (+11.1 Units / 19.79% ROI)
- 19-32 against the Under for game total points (-16.2 Units / -28.88% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 85 games (-31.05 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 66 games (-29.20 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 73 games (-26.15 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 86 games (-23.00 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 90 games (-20.03 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Magic:
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 91 games (-27.50 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 64 games (-25.80 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 65 games (-24.42 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 85 games (-24.20 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 79 games (-22.95 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Orlando Magic
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Orlando Magic vs. Denver Nuggets
- Orlando Magic Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Orlando Magic Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Magic are 6-16 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 53.8 rebounds/game this season — 6th-highest in the NBA.
The Magic are 5-20 (.200) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .351
The Magic are 14-3 (.824) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .662
The Magic are 50-13 (.794) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .660
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic
The Nuggets are 23-8 (.742) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Magic have averaged 50.8 rebounds/game this season — 6th-lowest in the NBA.
The Nuggets were 16-6 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Nuggets are 28-18 (.609) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508
The Nuggets are 65-20 (.765) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636
Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends
The Magic are shooting 31% from three (578/1,891) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Magic are shooting 29% from three (300/1,018) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Magic are shooting 29% from three (272/930) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Magic have a TS% of 49% on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 31.4 points in the paint per game (1,602 points/51 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.5
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (176 assists/ 65 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have averaged 29.2 points in the paint per game (3,880 points/133 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1
The Nuggets have averaged 31.2 assists per game (1,590 assists/51 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.4
Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends
The Magic have allowed 11.0 second chance points per game (570 points/52 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0
The Magic have allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.4
The Magic have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,700 rebounds/52 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Magic have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (318 blocks/52 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nuggets have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (4,825 rebounds/133 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have averaged 7.6 steals per game (517 steals/68 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
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