- The Celtics are -9.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max
The Dallas Mavericks visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston, MA, MA, USA.
The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Mavericks vs Celtics Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 24-25 against the spread, while the Celtics are 20-30 against the spread.
Bet now on Celtics vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Mavericks vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dallas Mavericks | +11.5 -110 | O 231.5 -105 | +475 |
| Boston Celtics | -11.5 -110 | U 231.5 -115 | -650 |
Celtics vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Celtics.
Celtics vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 56 of their last 92 games (+17.78 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 47 away games (+15.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 36 away games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 96 games (+11.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 93 games (+11.10 Units / 5% ROI)
Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Boston Celtics have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 57 games (+16.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 73 of their last 100 games (+14.77 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 96 games (+12.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+11.05 Units / 32% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 24-25 (-3.5 Units / -6.24% ROI).
- 26-25 against the Moneyline (-0.45 Units / -0.39% ROI)
- 27-24 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.07% ROI)
- 24-27 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -10.16% ROI)
Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 20-30 (-13 Units / -23.17% ROI).
- 36-15 against the Moneyline (-35.3 Units / -11.69% ROI)
- 23-28 against the Over for game total points (-7.8 Units / -13.9% ROI)
- 28-23 against the Under for game total points (+2.7 Units / 4.81% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 87 games (-51.54 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 81 games (-49.90 Units / -10% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 87 games (-34.15 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 80 games (-27.08 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 100 games (-26.85 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 100 games (-26.17 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 96 games (-24.80 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 100 games (-19.50 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 100 games (-18.35 Units / -11% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 42 away games (-18.00 Units / -37% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Boston Celtics
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Boston Celtics Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Boston Celtics Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics
The Mavericks are undefeated (6-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701
The Mavericks are 31-3 (.912) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .841
The Mavericks are 17-10 (.630) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Mavericks were 17-1 (.944) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822
Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Celtics are 25-6 (.806) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .440
The Celtics are 46-10 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
The Celtics are 55-16 (.775) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558
The Celtics were 15-1 (.938) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (1,131 turnovers/188 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks had 22.7 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Mavericks made 14.7 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have made 17.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1
The Celtics have made 17.6 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Celtics have made 17.8 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4
The Celtics have made 17.1 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,845 rebounds/51 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Mavericks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,285 steals/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks have averaged 7.3 steals per game (976 steals/133 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Celtics allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,957 points/7,515 shots) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28
The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (14,486 points/12,092 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28
The Celtics have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (4,977 rebounds/133 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
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