Mavericks vs Clippers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 21

Dallas Mavericks logo on the left and Los Angeles Clippers logo on the right
  • The Mavericks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Clippers
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Dallas Mavericks visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Clippers Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 48-34 against the spread, while the Clippers are against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Clippers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-2.5 -115O 222.5 -110-150
Los Angeles Clippers +2.5 -105U 222.5 -110+125

Clippers vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Sunday‘s game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Clippers.

Clippers vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Clippers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 56.7% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 57 games (+17.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 53 games (+15.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 33 games (+14.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 41 away games (+8.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games at home (+6.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 80 games (+5.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 77 games (+5.70 Units / 7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 48-34 (+10.6 Units / 11.76% ROI).

  • 50-32 against the Moneyline (+2.95 Units / 1.64% ROI)
  • 37-45 against the Over for game total points (-12.5 Units / -13.86% ROI)
  • 45-37 against the Under for game total points (+4.3 Units / 4.77% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 18 games at home (-29.70 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 games at home (-22.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.05 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 57 games (-16.95 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only covered the Spread in 10 of their last 33 games (-15.30 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 82 games (-29.15 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 55 games (-23.45 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 59 games (-22.90 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 75 games (-21.85 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 games (-20.85 Units / -30% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Clippers

The Mavericks are 9-3 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Mavericks are 5-13 (.278) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Mavericks are 46-25 (.648) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Mavericks are 20-10 (.667) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Los Angeles Clippers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Clippers are 30-6 (.833) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

The Clippers were 15-4 (.789) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Clippers are 59-22 (.728) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Mavericks have averaged 49.4 rebounds/game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.

The Clippers are 21-15 (.583) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Injury Report: Clippers vs. MavericksSunday‘s Game, Apr. 21

  • Kawhi Leonard (Los Angeles Clippers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Greg Brown (Dallas Mavericks): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • PJ Washington (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Dereck Lively II (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Luka Doncic (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Mavericks averaged 20.1 points in the paint per game (1,646 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Mavericks averaged 10.3 second chance points per game (423 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Mavericks averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (1,002 turnovers/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Los Angeles Clippers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers have averaged 12.6 second chance points per game (1,037 points/82 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Clippers have averaged 25.6 assists per game (2,097 assists/82 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Clippers had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,959 assists/ 1,167 TOs) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Clippers have averaged 15.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,244 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (359 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Los Angeles Clippers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers have 640 steals this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Clippers averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Clippers have averaged 7.8 steals per game (640 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Clippers averaged 4.4 blocks per game (364 blocks/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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