Mavericks vs Clippers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 4

Dallas Mavericks logo on the left and Los Angeles Clippers logo on the right
  • The Clippers are -10.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on KFAA | FDSC

The Dallas Mavericks visit Intuit Dome to take on the Los Angeles Clippers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Inglewood, CA.

The Clippers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Clippers Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 36-39 against the spread, while the Clippers are against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Clippers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+10.5 -110O 226.5 -110+375
Los Angeles Clippers -10.5 -110U 226.5 -110-500

Clippers vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Clippers will win Friday‘s game with 79.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Clippers.

Clippers vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.8% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 away games (+11.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 51 of their last 89 games (+10.53 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 away games (+10.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+9.88 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 60 games (+20.22 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 76 games (+17.29 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 33 games at home (+16.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 60 games (+14.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+14.10 Units / 39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 36-39 (-6.9 Units / -8.14% ROI).

  • 38-39 against the Moneyline (+2.95 Units / 1.91% ROI)
  • 42-34 against the Over for game total points (+4.6 Units / 5.43% ROI)
  • 34-42 against the Under for game total points (-12.2 Units / -14.4% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Clippers have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Home Moneyline Record against the Moneyline (Home ML Units Units / Home ML ROI ROI)
  • Home Over Record against the Over for game total points (Home Over Units Units / Home Over ROI ROI)
  • Home Under Record against the Under for game total points (Home Under Units Units / Home Under ROI ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 53 games (-28.55 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 53 games (-24.40 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 32 games (-19.70 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 32 games (-18.85 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 32 games (-18.30 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 48 away games (-18.50 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 68 games (-18.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 63 games (-18.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 99 games (-17.28 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 48 away games (-16.35 Units / -30% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Clippers

The Mavericks are 19-8 (.704) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Clippers have averaged 51.3 rebounds/game this season — T-10th-lowest in the NBA.

The Mavericks were 36-10 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Mavericks are 8-1 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .756

The Mavericks are 1-16 (.059) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .182

Los Angeles Clippers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Clippers are winless (0-9) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .244

The Clippers are 25-6 (.806) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .648

The Clippers were 14-10 (.583) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Clippers are 51-25 (.671) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 1.31 points per shot (9,772 points/7,436 shots) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Mavericks had an eFG% of 56% last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks are shooting 48% (3,251/6,791) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Los Angeles Clippers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers averaged 12.6 second chance points per game (1,037 points/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Clippers shot 38% from three (1,036/2,719) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Clippers averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,481 points/7,108 shots) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Clippers had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,097 assists/ 1,078 TOs) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have allowed 10.9 points in the paint per game (632 points/58 games) in close and late situations this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.5

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (833 blocks/159 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Mavericks have averaged 7.8 steals per game (604 steals/77 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

Los Angeles Clippers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,358 steals/158 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Clippers have averaged 8.9 steals per game (713 steals/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Clippers have averaged 8.3 steals per game (645 steals/78 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Clippers have 718 steals this season — 3rd most among NBA teams


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