- The Mavericks are -3.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN | SUN | WFAA
The Dallas Mavericks visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami, FL.
The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Mavericks vs Heat Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 47-32 against the spread, while the Heat are 39-38 against the spread.
Bet now on Heat vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Mavericks vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dallas Mavericks | -1.5 -115 | O 215.5 -110 | -130 |
Miami Heat | +1.5 -105 | U 215.5 -110 | +105 |
Heat vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Wednesday‘s game with 63.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Heat.
Heat vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.
Bet now on Heat vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 54 games (+14.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 39 away games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games (+17.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 100 games (+17.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 88 games (+16.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 57 of their last 97 games (+15.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 54 of their last 98 games (+14.75 Units / 11% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 47-32 (+11.8 Units / 13.59% ROI).
- 49-30 against the Moneyline (+8.75 Units / 5.11% ROI)
- 37-42 against the Over for game total points (-9.2 Units / -10.59% ROI)
- 42-37 against the Under for game total points (+1.3 Units / 1.5% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 39-38 (-2.8 Units / -3.22% ROI).
- 44-35 against the Moneyline (-0.5 Units / -0.33% ROI)
- 33-46 against the Over for game total points (-17.6 Units / -20.25% ROI)
- 46-33 against the Under for game total points (+9.7 Units / 11.16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 99 games (-29.00 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 95 games (-27.55 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 88 games (-25.40 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 90 games (-20.50 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-19.75 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 79 games (-25.15 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 52 games (-24.35 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 56 games (-19.60 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-19.40 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 42 games (-18.30 Units / -29% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
Keys to the game – away
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Heat were 11-7 (.611) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Heat are 18-7 (.720) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552
The Heat were 16-6 (.727) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609
The Heat were 19-9 (.679) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531
Injury Report: Heat vs. Mavericks – Wednesday‘s Game, Apr. 10
- Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): Knee, Game Time Decision
- Thomas Bryant (Miami Heat): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
- Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out
- Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
- Orlando Robinson (Miami Heat): Back, Out
- Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Knee, Out
- Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (1,002 turnovers/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (236 assists/ 93 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (962 turnovers/161 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Mavericks averaged 9.9 fast break points per game (404 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Heat are shooting 43% (410/961) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat are shooting 31% from three (116/371) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Mavericks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,845 rebounds/79 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,065 steals/161 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (248 blocks/79 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (513 blocks/161 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (265 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
Bet now on Heat vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.