- The Mavericks are -8.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
- Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
- Watch the game on KJZZ | BSW+
The Dallas Mavericks visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Salt Lake City, UT.
The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Mavericks vs Jazz Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 39-31 against the spread, while the Jazz are 37-34 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dallas Mavericks | -7.5 -110 | O 238.5 -110 | -300 |
| Utah Jazz | +7.5 -110 | U 238.5 -110 | +240 |
Jazz vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 78.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Jazz.
Jazz vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 56.4% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+14.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 38 away games (+9.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+8.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 34 away games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
Jazz Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+12.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+8.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 39-31 (+4.9 Units / 6.37% ROI).
- 41-29 against the Moneyline (+1.85 Units / 1.29% ROI)
- 34-36 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -7.27% ROI)
- 36-34 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -1.82% ROI)
Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 37-34 (-0.35 Units / -0.45% ROI).
- 29-42 against the Moneyline (-8.45 Units / -9.13% ROI)
- 38-31 against the Over for game total points (+3.9 Units / 4.99% ROI)
- 31-38 against the Under for game total points (-10.8 Units / -13.83% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Jazz:
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 77 games (-23.80 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 71 games (-23.70 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.40 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 76 games (-18.90 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 72 games (-18.15 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 78 games (-27.50 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 43 games (-20.40 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 25 of their last 63 games (-17.60 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 63 games (-17.55 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 56 games (-16.70 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Utah Jazz
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Utah Jazz Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Utah Jazz Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz
The Mavericks are 24-2 (.923) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — 9th-worst in the NBA.
The Mavericks are 28-9 (.757) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed 14.8 made three-pointers per game this season — worst in the NBA.
The Mavericks are 17-9 (.654) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Mavericks are 4-13 (.235) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395
Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Jazz are 18-34 (.346) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Mavericks have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game this season — 4th-lowest in the NBA.
The Jazz are winless (0-13) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .091
The Jazz are winless (0-10) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .114
The Jazz were 13-20 (.394) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456
Injury Report: Jazz vs. Mavericks – Monday‘s Game, Mar. 25
- Otto Porter Jr. (Utah Jazz): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
- Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.8 (193 assists/ 68 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2
The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5
The Mavericks averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (1,002 turnovers/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz have averaged 7.8 turnovers per game (556 turnovers/71 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7
The Jazz have averaged 15.9 second chance points per game (1,226 points/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Jazz averaged 58.8 points per game (4,823 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Jazz have averaged 16.2 second chance points per game (2,480 points/153 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (330 blocks/70 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Mavericks have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,216 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (992 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz have allowed 22.4 fast break points per game (808 points/36 games) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.9
The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (561/1,349) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
The Jazz have allowed 18.7 fast break points per game (1,326 points/71 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4
The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (1,050/2,638) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
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