Mavericks vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 14, 2024, 3:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -9.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | KFAA | KJZZ

The Dallas Mavericks visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Salt Lake City, UT.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Mavericks vs Jazz Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 4-6 against the spread, while the Jazz are 4-6 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-8.5 -105O 230.5 -110-350
Utah Jazz +8.5 -115U 230.5 -110+275

Jazz vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Jazz.

Jazz vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 86 games (+22.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 90 games (+20.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 28 away games (+13.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 40 of their last 66 games (+13.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 away games (+12.87 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games (+13.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+9.29 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 13 games (+8.30 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 70 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 71 games (+6.90 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 4-6 (-2.6 Units / -21.49% ROI).

  • 5-6 against the Moneyline (-3.9 Units / -13.81% ROI)
  • 5-6 against the Over for game total points (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI)
  • 6-5 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 4-6 (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 2-8 against the Moneyline (-3.4 Units / -34% ROI)
  • 4-6 against the Over for game total points (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • 6-4 against the Under for game total points (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 73 games (-27.25 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 81 games (-26.65 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 80 games (-23.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 65 games (-22.95 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 80 games (-19.05 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 88 games (-35.95 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 92 games (-29.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 78 games (-26.95 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 78 games (-26.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-21.85 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

Keys to the game – away

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

Keys to the game – home

Injury Report: Jazz vs. MavericksThursday‘s Game, Nov. 14

  • Utah Jazz – No Injuries Reported
  • Dallas Mavericks – No Injuries Reported

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

Away Team Offense Stories

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (753 turnovers/92 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Jazz have averaged 18.7 turnovers per game (187 turnovers/10 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

The Jazz have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (114 assists/ 95 TOs) at home this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Jazz averaged 16.4 second chance points per game (672 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 7.5 steals per game (83 steals/11 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 20.3 fast break points per game (1,765 points/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.7

The Jazz averaged 6.1 steals per game (500 steals/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Jazz allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (652/1,570) in the first half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Jazz have allowed 21.9 fast break points per game (1,008 points/46 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.