Mavericks vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 26, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Kings are -1.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Dallas Mavericks visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Mavericks vs Kings Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 40-31 against the spread, while the Kings are 36-34 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+1.5 -115O 233.5 -115-105
Sacramento Kings -1.5 -105U 233.5 -105-115

Kings vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Kings.

Kings vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 56.7% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 42 games (+15.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 46 games (+12.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 39 away games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 41 games (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 40-31 (+5.9 Units / 7.56% ROI).

  • 42-29 against the Moneyline (+2.85 Units / 1.94% ROI)
  • 34-37 against the Over for game total points (-6.7 Units / -8.58% ROI)
  • 37-34 against the Under for game total points (-0.4 Units / -0.51% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 36-34 (-1.35 Units / -1.73% ROI).

  • 42-29 against the Moneyline (-20.65 Units / -12.31% ROI)
  • 33-36 against the Over for game total points (-6.6 Units / -8.45% ROI)
  • 36-33 against the Under for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.38% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games at home (-38.65 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 86 games (-20.90 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 69 games (-18.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-18.50 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 86 games (-12.60 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 79 games (-29.80 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 44 games (-21.55 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 48 games (-17.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 64 games (-16.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 64 games (-16.55 Units / -23% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Mavericks were 1-8 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Mavericks are 13-1 (.929) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

The Mavericks are 10-6 (.625) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .536

The Mavericks were 7-8 (.467) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings were 29-16 (.644) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Kings were 29-17 (.630) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Kings were 26-18 (.591) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Kings vs. MavericksTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 26

  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (196 assists/ 68 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (1,002 turnovers/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings averaged 24.7 points per game (1,578 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (337 blocks/71 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (1,001 steals/153 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (786 points/71 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (570 blocks/153 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (280 blocks/75 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.