Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 10

  • The Nuggets are -5.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on KFAA | ALT

The Dallas Mavericks visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Nuggets Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 4-5 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 4-5 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+3.5 -105O 229.5 -105+145
Denver Nuggets -3.5 -115U 229.5 -115-175

Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Sunday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 84 games (+22.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 88 games (+22.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 40 of their last 64 games (+14.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games (+12.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 87 games (+12.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+8.49 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 87 games (+8.35 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 4-5 (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 5-4 against the Moneyline (-1.9 Units / -7.24% ROI)
  • 3-6 against the Over for game total points (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • 6-3 against the Under for game total points (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 4-5 (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 6-3 against the Moneyline (+1.85 Units / 7.54% ROI)
  • 7-2 against the Over for game total points (+4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI)
  • 2-7 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 74 games (-28.80 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 93 games (-16.63 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 24 games (-15.55 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 94 games (-14.45 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 26 games at home (-13.91 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 86 games (-35.75 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 90 games (-31.80 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 76 games (-28.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 76 games (-24.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-23.85 Units / -27% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Mavericks were 22-10 (.688) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Mavericks were 5-13 (.278) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Mavericks are 6-4 (.600) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Mavericks were 46-25 (.648) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets were 24-7 (.774) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Nuggets are 23-8 (.742) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Nuggets were 12-3 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. MavericksSunday‘s Game, Nov. 10

  • Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported
  • Dallas Mavericks – No Injuries Reported

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (1,029 turnovers/173 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks averaged 20.1 points in the paint per game (1,646 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets averaged 31.0 assists per game (1,270 assists/41 games) at home last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 27.2

The Nuggets averaged 13.6 assists per game (1,114 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nuggets blocked 457 shots last season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets have averaged 7.3 steals per game (665 steals/91 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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