- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Dallas Mavericks visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Mavericks vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 23-23 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 19-28 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dallas Mavericks | O | ||
New Orleans Pelicans | U |
Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Pelicans.
Pelicans vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 54 of their last 88 games (+18.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 43 away games (+15.02 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 99 games (+14.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 89 games (+13.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 57 of their last 100 games (+11.90 Units / 11% ROI)
Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 44 games at home (+15.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 23-23 (-2.3 Units / -4.45% ROI).
- 25-22 against the Moneyline (+1.7 Units / 1.51% ROI)
- 24-23 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -2.51% ROI)
- 23-24 against the Under for game total points (-3.4 Units / -6.58% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 19-28 (-11.75 Units / -22.75% ROI).
- 12-35 against the Moneyline (-23.75 Units / -36.68% ROI)
- 26-20 against the Over for game total points (+4 Units / 7.74% ROI)
- 20-26 against the Under for game total points (-8.6 Units / -16.63% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 62 games (-34.05 Units / -36% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-24.35 Units / -25% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-23.72 Units / -24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 26 of their last 67 games (-19.05 Units / -26% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 55 games (-17.79 Units / -28% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 99 games (-29.37 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 97 games (-26.55 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 97 games (-20.40 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 98 games (-19.60 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 98 games (-19.30 Units / -11% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Mavericks are 10-4 (.714) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Mavericks are 15-4 (.789) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have averaged 51.5 rebounds/game this season — 10th-lowest in the NBA.
The Mavericks are 48-14 (.774) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .648
The Mavericks are 30-3 (.909) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .838
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Pelicans are undefeated (9-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .899
The Pelicans are 9-12 (.429) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .563
The Pelicans are 22-2 (.917) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .755
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks made 14.7 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks had an eFG% of 56% last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Mavericks are shooting 37% from three (612/1,653) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have a TS% of 47% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Pelicans have a TS% of 48% this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Pelicans have an eFG% of 51% this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Pelicans are shooting 34% from three (569/1,664) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,708 rebounds/47 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (275 blocks/47 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,238/3,650) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
The Pelicans stole the ball 684 times last season — 3rd most among NBA teams
The Pelicans have averaged 9.4 steals per game (600 steals/64 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (1,600 steals/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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