Mavericks vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 29

Dallas Mavericks logo on the left and New Orleans Pelicans logo on the right
AP Photos
  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Dallas Mavericks visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 23-23 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 19-28 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks O
New Orleans Pelicans U

Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 54 of their last 88 games (+18.08 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 43 away games (+15.02 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 99 games (+14.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 89 games (+13.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 57 of their last 100 games (+11.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 44 games at home (+15.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 23-23 (-2.3 Units / -4.45% ROI).

  • 25-22 against the Moneyline (+1.7 Units / 1.51% ROI)
  • 24-23 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -2.51% ROI)
  • 23-24 against the Under for game total points (-3.4 Units / -6.58% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 19-28 (-11.75 Units / -22.75% ROI).

  • 12-35 against the Moneyline (-23.75 Units / -36.68% ROI)
  • 26-20 against the Over for game total points (+4 Units / 7.74% ROI)
  • 20-26 against the Under for game total points (-8.6 Units / -16.63% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 62 games (-34.05 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-24.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-23.72 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 26 of their last 67 games (-19.05 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 55 games (-17.79 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 99 games (-29.37 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 97 games (-26.55 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 97 games (-20.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 98 games (-19.60 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 98 games (-19.30 Units / -11% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Mavericks are 10-4 (.714) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Mavericks are 15-4 (.789) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have averaged 51.5 rebounds/game this season — 10th-lowest in the NBA.

The Mavericks are 48-14 (.774) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .648

The Mavericks are 30-3 (.909) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .838

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans are undefeated (9-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .899

The Pelicans are 9-12 (.429) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Pelicans are 22-2 (.917) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .755

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks made 14.7 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks had an eFG% of 56% last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Mavericks are shooting 37% from three (612/1,653) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have a TS% of 47% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pelicans have a TS% of 48% this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 51% this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pelicans are shooting 34% from three (569/1,664) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,708 rebounds/47 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (275 blocks/47 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,238/3,650) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans stole the ball 684 times last season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 9.4 steals per game (600 steals/64 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (1,600 steals/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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