Mavericks vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 7

  • The Mavericks are -9.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Watch the game on KFAA | TSN

The Dallas Mavericks visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Toronto, ON.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Raptors Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 14-8 against the spread, while the Raptors are 15-8 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks O
Toronto Raptors U

Raptors vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Raptors.

Raptors vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 57.5% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 98 games (+22.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 50 of their last 78 games (+21.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 36 away games (+17.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 away games (+16.87 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 65 games (+16.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 51 games (+12.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+9.46 Units / 43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 14-8 (+5.2 Units / 20.55% ROI).

  • 15-8 against the Moneyline (+4.55 Units / 6.63% ROI)
  • 13-10 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 7.91% ROI)
  • 10-13 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units / -17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 15-8 (+6.2 Units / 24.51% ROI).

  • 7-16 against the Moneyline (-3.3 Units / -14.29% ROI)
  • 11-12 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI)
  • 12-11 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 84 games (-28.50 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 84 games (-17.60 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 82 games (-16.11 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 27 games at home (-13.80 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 25 games at home (-13.60 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 100 games (-36.62 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 90 games (-27.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 100 games (-23.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 73 games (-21.85 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 90 games (-18.55 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Mavericks are 43-11 (.796) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed 13.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

The Mavericks were 17-1 (.944) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Mavericks are 9-2 (.818) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Mavericks are 15-5 (.750) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Raptors are 10-43 (.189) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Raptors are 1-6 (.143) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .390

The Raptors are 20-60 (.250) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Raptors are 9-33 (.214) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Mavericks have made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have averaged 15.4 second chance points per game (354 points/23 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Mavericks averaged 119.2 points per game (9,772 points/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Mavericks are shooting 49% (1,009/2,068) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (1,049 points/52 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Raptors have averaged 18.2 fast break points per game (3,390 points/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

The Raptors averaged 18.7 fast break points per game (1,531 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,797 rebounds/105 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have blocked 128 shots this season — tied for 8th most among NBA teams

The Mavericks have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (846 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,164 rebounds/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Raptors averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,769 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,591 rebounds/105 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors stole the ball 633 times last season — 10th most among NBA teams


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