Mavericks vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSW+ | TSN

The Dallas Mavericks visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Toronto, ON.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Raptors Over/Under is 241.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 31-27 against the spread, while the Raptors are 28-29 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-2.5 -115O 241.5 -110-150
Toronto Raptors +2.5 -105U 241.5 -110+125

Raptors vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Wednesday‘s game with 63.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Raptors.

Raptors vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 44 games (+18.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 34 away games (+14.95 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 away games (+10.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+12.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 71 games (+12.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 43 of their last 74 games (+8.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.65 Units / 42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 31-27 (+1.35 Units / 2.12% ROI).

  • 33-25 against the Moneyline (+1 Units / 0.92% ROI)
  • 28-29 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -6.1% ROI)
  • 29-28 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.67% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 28-29 (-3.9 Units / -6.11% ROI).

  • 22-36 against the Moneyline (-19.1 Units / -22.03% ROI)
  • 30-27 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.47% ROI)
  • 27-30 against the Under for game total points (-5.95 Units / -9.33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 78 games (-24.25 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 34 games at home (-17.40 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 76 games (-16.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 63 games (-16.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 78 games (-27.20 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 68 games (-25.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 44 games (-23.65 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 65 games (-16.55 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.35 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Mavericks are 6-1 (.857) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Mavericks were 8-1 (.889) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Mavericks were 22-32 (.407) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Mavericks are 4-11 (.267) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Raptors were undefeated (9-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Raptors are 6-16 (.273) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Mavericks have made 15.1 three-pointers per game this season — T-2nd-highest in the NBA.

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors were 10-17 (.370) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Injury Report: Raptors vs. MavericksWednesday‘s Game, Feb. 28

  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Knee, Out
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (157 assists/ 55 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (809 turnovers/136 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (987 assists/ 480 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Raptors averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (956 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (2,409 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,864 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (541 blocks/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,836 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.