Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 12

  • The Spurs are -5.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Watch the game on KFAA | FDSW

The Dallas Mavericks visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in San Antonio, TX, USA.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-118).

The Mavericks vs Spurs Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 31-33 against the spread, while the Spurs are 26-37 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+5.5 -102O 235.5 -105+195
San Antonio Spurs -5.5 -118U 235.5 -115-235

Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Wednesday‘s game with 78.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Spurs.

Spurs vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 56.5% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 59 of their last 100 games (+16.18 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 41 away games (+13.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 71 games (+12.67 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 54 games (+12.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 away games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 69 games (+20.32 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+13.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 games at home (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+10.95 Units / 36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 31-33 (-5.3 Units / -7.3% ROI).

  • 33-33 against the Moneyline (+5.5 Units / 3.99% ROI)
  • 34-32 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -1.65% ROI)
  • 32-34 against the Under for game total points (-5.4 Units / -7.44% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 26-37 (-14.7 Units / -21.21% ROI).

  • 26-37 against the Moneyline (-10.6 Units / -12.01% ROI)
  • 35-27 against the Over for game total points (+5.3 Units / 7.65% ROI)
  • 27-35 against the Under for game total points (-11.5 Units / -16.59% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the Spread in 7 of their last 29 games (-17.20 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 73 games (-16.89 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 73 games (-16.62 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 58 games (-16.51 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 75 games (-16.15 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 100 games (-21.92 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 47 away games (-19.45 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 57 games (-16.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 96 games (-15.93 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 52 games (-14.20 Units / -24% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Mavericks are 40-12 (.769) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .691

The Mavericks are 20-10 (.667) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .586

The Mavericks are 20-10 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Mavericks were 9-3 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Spurs are 5-42 (.106) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308

The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs are 9-22 (.290) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Mavericks have averaged 13.8 turnovers per game this season — T-9th-lowest in the NBA.

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 15.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,263 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Mavericks are shooting 37% from three (865/2,352) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks averaged 48.0 points in the paint per game (3,932 points/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs are shooting 31% from three (89/284) in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Spurs have averaged 5.7 second chance points per game (359 points/63 games) in the first half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Spurs averaged 112.1 points per game (9,192 points/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Spurs shot 34% from three (492/1,463) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have blocked 378 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (1,095 steals/148 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (384 blocks/63 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Spurs blocked 520 shots last season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Spurs have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (904 blocks/145 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Spurs have blocked 904 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd most among NBA teams


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