Mavericks vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 26, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Mavericks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | KFAA | AZFS

The Dallas Mavericks visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Suns Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 1-0 against the spread, while the Suns are 0-2 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-2.5 -115O 231.5 -110-145
Phoenix Suns +2.5 -105U 231.5 -110+120

Suns vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Saturday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Suns.

Suns vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 76 games (+19.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 80 games (+19.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 37 of their last 56 games (+17.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 24 away games (+14.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 away games (+13.15 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 73 games (+19.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+11.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 87 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Mavericks have gone 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 1-0 against the Moneyline (+1 Units / 27.03% ROI)
  • 1-0 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI)
  • 0-1 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Suns have gone 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 1-1 against the Moneyline (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • 2-0 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI)
  • 0-2 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 87 games (-38.20 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 75 games (-30.10 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 85 games (-24.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 87 games (-22.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 71 games (-21.30 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 78 games (-30.85 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 100 games (-28.00 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 82 games (-27.20 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 68 games (-21.00 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 68 games (-18.90 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Mavericks were 30-15 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — T-8th-best in the NBA. The Suns averaged 14.9 turnovers per game (1,221 turnovers/82 games) last season — 6th-highest in the NBA.

The Mavericks were 16-1 (.941) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Mavericks are 5-14 (.263) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427

The Mavericks are 8-4 (.667) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Suns were 5-11 (.312) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Suns were 22-11 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Suns were 14-8 (.636) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Suns were 18-5 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

Injury Report: Suns vs. MavericksSaturday‘s Game, Oct. 26

  • Phoenix Suns – No Injuries Reported
  • Dallas Mavericks – No Injuries Reported

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 10.3 second chance points per game (423 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (986 turnovers/165 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 9.9 fast break points per game (404 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (472 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns have averaged 12.0 fast break points per game (1,988 points/166 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Suns averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,758 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,095 steals/165 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,908 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns blocked 491 shots last season — 7th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.