Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 12, 2024, 3:31 PM
  • The Warriors are -3.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Dallas Mavericks visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Warriors Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 4-5 against the spread, while the Warriors are 8-2 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+2.5 -110O 234.5 -105+120
Golden State Warriors -2.5 -110U 234.5 -115-145

Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Tuesday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Warriors.

Warriors vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with confidence.


Bet now on Warriors vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 85 games (+23.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 89 games (+21.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 40 of their last 65 games (+14.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 27 away games (+12.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 away games (+11.87 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 45 of their last 76 games (+12.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 61 games (+11.58 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.70 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 4-5 (-1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI).

  • 5-5 against the Moneyline (-2.9 Units / -10.64% ROI)
  • 4-6 against the Over for game total points (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • 6-4 against the Under for game total points (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 8-2 (+5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • 8-2 against the Moneyline (+6.15 Units / 28.54% ROI)
  • 7-3 against the Over for game total points (+3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI)
  • 3-7 against the Under for game total points (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.85 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-16.78 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 75 games (-16.62 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 63 games (-15.35 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 82 games (-14.70 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 87 games (-36.95 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 91 games (-30.80 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 77 games (-27.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 77 games (-25.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-22.85 Units / -25% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Mavericks are undefeated (9-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .897

The Mavericks were 30-15 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks were 5-13 (.278) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Warriors were 7-11 (.389) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Warriors are 12-13 (.480) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Warriors were 13-12 (.520) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Warriors were 19-11 (.633) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

Injury Report: Warriors vs. MavericksTuesday‘s Game, Nov. 12

  • Golden State Warriors – No Injuries Reported
  • Dallas Mavericks – No Injuries Reported

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (1,002 turnovers/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Mavericks averaged 9.9 fast break points per game (404 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors have averaged 65.5 points per game (655 points/10 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4

The Warriors averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (1,336 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (649 steals/92 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have allowed an eFG% of 50% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have blocked 57 shots this season — 10th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.