- Get expert betting picks & predictions for today's top NBA games.
- My favorite total is over 228 for the Warriors vs. Raptors.
- My favorite prop is over 2.5 3-pointers for Victor Wembanyama.
A new NBA regular season is upon us, so bookmark this page for daily expert betting picks and predictions involving over/under totals and player prop markets.
Read on for NBA betting picks and predictions based on the latest NBA odds at the online sportsbook for Monday’s schedule:
NBA Predictions Over/Under Today
My best over/under prediction today is over 228 points (-110) for Monday’s Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors matchup.
It’s difficult to trust either team’s defensive performance in this one. The Raptors rank 27th in defensive rating, including 30th over the past two weeks. The Warriors rank 19th over the past two weeks.
I don’t see many stops, which is why this total has climbed up from 225.5 overnight.
Best Bet: Warriors vs. Raptors Over 228 (-110)
NBA Prop Bet Predictions Today: Victor Wembanyama
Based on the latest NBA betting lines, I’m taking over 2.5 3-pointers (-160) for San Antonio Spurs center Victor Wembanyama against the Los Angeles Lakers as my favorite player prop for Monday’s NBA slate.
I expect a dominant offensive performance from Wembanyama, who is facing a Lakers defense that recently struggled in Texas. They allowed 32 three-pointers in their losses to the Houston Rockets and Dallas Mavericks.
Wembanyama is averaging 3.3 3-pointers on 9.3 attempts per contest this season. He’s cleared this prop in eight of his last 11 outings. I’m willing to pay the vig for this one.
Best Bet: Victor Wembanyama Over 2.5 3-pointers (-160) vs. Lakers
NBA Best Bets Today, Jan. 13
| Game | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Raptors | Over 228 | -110 |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Victor Wembanyama Over 2.5 3-pointers | -160 |
How Often Do Favorites Cover in NBA Betting?
Favorites covered the spread in 50% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The New York Knicks were the best team as a favorite over that time, covering in 55% of opportunities.
The Minnesota Timberwolves were the worst favorite, covering in 46% of opportunities.
How Often Do Underdogs Cover in NBA Betting?
Underdogs covered the spread in 50% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Boston Celtics were the best team as an underdog over that time, covering in 59% of opportunities.
The Houston Rockets were the worst underdog, covering in 45% of opportunities.
How Often Do Home Teams Cover in NBA Betting?
Home teams covered the spread in 49.4% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Memphis Grizzlies were the best home team over that time, covering in 53.7% of games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves were the worst home team, covering in 45.1% of games.
How Often Do Road Teams Cover in NBA Betting?
Road teams covered the spread in 50.6% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Celtics were the best road team over that time, covering in 56.1% of games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers were the worst road team, covering in 44.3% of games.
How Often Do Favorites Win in NBA Betting?
Favorites won 68% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Golden State Warriors had the best record as a moneyline favorite over that time, winning 76% of games.
The Detroit Pistons had the worst record as a moneyline favorite, winning 60% of games.
How Often Do Underdogs Win in NBA Betting?
Underdogs won 32% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Boston Celtics had the best record as moneyline underdog over that time, winning 40% of games.
The Pistons had the worst record as a moneyline underdog, winning 26% of games.
How Often Do Home Teams Win in NBA Betting?
Home teams won 57% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Warriors had the best moneyline home record over that time, winning 74% of games.
The Pistons had the worst moneyline home record, winning 43% of games.
How Often Do Road Teams Win in NBA Betting?
Road teams won 43% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Warriors had the best moneyline road record over that time, winning 58% of games.
The Pistons had the moneyline worst road record, winning 29% of games.
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