- Get expert betting picks & predictions for today's top NBA games.
- My favorite total is over 233 for Spurs vs. Celtics.
- My favorite prop is over 3.5 rebounds for Austin Reaves.
The NBA regular season is upon us, so bookmark this page for daily expert betting picks and predictions involving over/under totals and player prop markets.
Read on for NBA betting picks and predictions based on the latest NBA odds at the online sportsbook for Wednesday’s schedule:
NBA Predictions Over/Under Today
My best over/under prediction today is over 233 points (-110) for Wednesdayโs San Antonio Spurs vs. Boston Celtics matchup.
This line climbed 1.5 points overnight, but following the market movement is still valuable. The Spurs are 30-21 to the over, ranking 21st in defensive rating. Their offense improved after trading for DeโAaron Fox, but they have struggled to get stops.
That doesnโt bode well against the Celtics, who are fourth in offensive rating after being the best offense last year.
Prediction: Spurs vs. Celtics Over 233 (-110)
NBA Prop Bet Predictions Today: Austin Reaves
Based on the latest NBA betting lines, Iโm taking over 3.5 rebounds (-140) for Los Angeles Lakers guard Austin Reaves against the Utah Jazz as my favorite player prop for Wednesdayโs slate.
Iโm such a fan of Reavesโ game. Heโs willing to do whatever it takes for his team. He scored 45 points in Saturdayโs win over the Indiana Pacers on a night where the Lakers didnโt have LeBron James.
In Luka Donฤiฤโs debut on Monday against Utah, Reaves did the dirty work and picked up nine rebounds.
Reaves will play a different role as the third option, but I expect his defense and rebounding to improve with less offensive pressure. Heโs averaged 4.4 rebounds per game this season, and he’s cleared this mark in eight of his past nine outings.
Prediction: Austin Reaves Over 3.5 Rebounds (-140)
NBA Best Bets Today, Feb. 12
| Game | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Celtics | Over 233 | -110 |
| Lakers vs. Jazz | Austin Reaves Over 3.5 Rebounds | -140 |
NBA Standings 2025
How Often Do Favorites Cover in NBA Betting?
Favorites covered the spread in 50% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The New York Knicks were the best team as a favorite over that time, covering in 55% of opportunities.
The Minnesota Timberwolves were the worst favorite, covering in 46% of opportunities.
How Often Do Underdogs Cover in NBA Betting?
Underdogs covered the spread in 50% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Boston Celtics were the best team as an underdog over that time, covering in 59% of opportunities.
The Houston Rockets were the worst underdog, covering in 45% of opportunities.
How Often Do Home Teams Cover in NBA Betting?
Home teams covered the spread in 49.4% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Memphis Grizzlies were the best home team over that time, covering in 53.7% of games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves were the worst home team, covering in 45.1% of games.
How Often Do Road Teams Cover in NBA Betting?
Road teams covered the spread in 50.6% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Celtics were the best road team over that time, covering in 56.1% of games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers were the worst road team, covering in 44.3% of games.
How Often Do Favorites Win in NBA Betting?
Favorites won 68% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Golden State Warriors had the best record as a moneyline favorite over that time, winning 76% of games.
The Detroit Pistons had the worst record as a moneyline favorite, winning 60% of games.
How Often Do Underdogs Win in NBA Betting?
Underdogs won 32% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Boston Celtics had the best record as moneyline underdog over that time, winning 40% of games.
The Pistons had the worst record as a moneyline underdog, winning 26% of games.
How Often Do Home Teams Win in NBA Betting?
Home teams won 57% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Warriors had the best moneyline home record over that time, winning 74% of games.
The Pistons had the worst moneyline home record, winning 43% of games.
How Often Do Road Teams Win in NBA Betting?
Road teams won 43% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Warriors had the best moneyline road record over that time, winning 58% of games.
The Pistons had the moneyline worst road record, winning 29% of games.
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