- Get expert betting picks & predictions for today's top NBA games.
- My favorite total is under 229.5 for Thursday’s Warriors vs. Lakers game
- My favorite prop is over 1.5 3-pointers for Gabe Vincent.
The NBA playoffs are around the corner, so bookmark this page for daily expert betting picks and predictions involving over/under totals and player prop markets.
Read on for NBA betting picks and predictions based on the latest NBA odds at the online sportsbook for Thursday’s schedule:
NBA Predictions Over/Under Today
My best over/under prediction today is under 229.5 (-110) for Thursday’s Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers matchup.
This game means a lot from a seeding perspective. The Lakers are No. 3 in the Western Conference, leading the Warriors by two games. I expect both teams to put plenty of effort into the defensive end of the floor.
This line has dropped from 230 overnight, but I like the total at 229 or better.
Prediction: Warriors vs. Lakers Under 229.5 (-110)
NBA Player Prop Bet Predictions Today: Gabe Vincent
Based on the latest NBA betting lines, I predict Lakers guard Gabe Vincent will finish over 1.5 3-pointers against the Warriors as my favorite player prop for Thursday’s NBA slate.
Although I like the under for the game total, Vincent has been shooting the ball too well of late. He hit six triples against the Houston Rockets on Monday, marking his fourth straight game with multiple 3-pointers.
Vincent will need to be on the floor to guard Stephen Curry, so I like his chances of getting enough open looks from the corner in this game.
Prediction: Gabe Vincent Over 1.5 3-pointers (-160)
NBA Best Bets Today, April 3
| Game | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Lakers | Under 229.5 | -110 |
| Warriors vs. Lakers | Gabe Vincent Over 1.5 3-Pointers | -160 |
NBA Standings 2025
How Often Do Favorites Cover in NBA Betting?
Favorites covered the spread in 50% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The New York Knicks were the best team as a favorite over that time, covering in 55% of opportunities.
The Minnesota Timberwolves were the worst favorite, covering in 46% of opportunities.
How Often Do Underdogs Cover in NBA Betting?
Underdogs covered the spread in 50% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Boston Celtics were the best team as an underdog over that time, covering in 59% of opportunities.
The Houston Rockets were the worst underdog, covering in 45% of opportunities.
How Often Do Home Teams Cover in NBA Betting?
Home teams covered the spread in 49.4% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Memphis Grizzlies were the best home team over that time, covering in 53.7% of games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves were the worst home team, covering in 45.1% of games.
How Often Do Road Teams Cover in NBA Betting?
Road teams covered the spread in 50.6% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Celtics were the best road team over that time, covering in 56.1% of games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers were the worst road team, covering in 44.3% of games.
How Often Do Favorites Win in NBA Betting?
Favorites won 68% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Golden State Warriors had the best record as a moneyline favorite over that time, winning 76% of games.
The Detroit Pistons had the worst record as a moneyline favorite, winning 60% of games.
How Often Do Underdogs Win in NBA Betting?
Underdogs won 32% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Boston Celtics had the best record as moneyline underdog over that time, winning 40% of games.
The Pistons had the worst record as a moneyline underdog, winning 26% of games.
How Often Do Home Teams Win in NBA Betting?
Home teams won 57% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Warriors had the best moneyline home record over that time, winning 74% of games.
The Pistons had the worst moneyline home record, winning 43% of games.
How Often Do Road Teams Win in NBA Betting?
Road teams won 43% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons.
The Warriors had the best moneyline road record over that time, winning 58% of games.
The Pistons had the moneyline worst road record, winning 29% of games.
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