Nuggets vs 76ers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 16, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The 76ers are +76 favorites vs. the Nuggets
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Denver Nuggets visit Wells Fargo Center to take on the Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Philadelphia, PA.

The 76ers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at +76 (-110).

The Nuggets vs 76ers Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 18-22 against the spread, while the 76ers are 25-13 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. 76ers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets+1.5 -110O 233.5 -110+105
Philadelphia 76ers +76 -110U 233.5 -110-125

76ers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the 76ers will win Tuesday‘s game with 64.9% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Nuggets and 76ers, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

76ers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 65 of their last 100 games (+25.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 31 away games (+18.30 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 69 games (+17.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 62 games (+16.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games (+15.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 88 games (+23.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the Spread in 55 of their last 88 games (+19.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 3Q Spread in 49 of their last 78 games (+16.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 68 games (+16.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 78 games (+14.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 18-22 (-6.3 Units / -13.88% ROI).

  • 28-13 against the Moneyline (+5 Units / 3.86% ROI)
  • 16-24 against the Over for game total points (-10.4 Units / -23.06% ROI)
  • 24-16 against the Under for game total points (+6.4 Units / 14.19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 25-13 (+10.65 Units / 25.48% ROI).

  • 25-13 against the Moneyline (+2.1 Units / 1.92% ROI)
  • 23-15 against the Over for game total points (+6.5 Units / 15.55% ROI)
  • 15-23 against the Under for game total points (-10.3 Units / -24.64% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 79 games (-19.45 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 86 games (-19.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 88 games (-17.30 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 76 games (-15.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 52 games (-13.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 100 games (-37.50 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 85 games (-24.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 74 games (-22.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 31 away games (-21.30 Units / -63% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 96 games (-18.45 Units / -15% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 30-9 (.769) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Nuggets are 11-2 (.846) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Nuggets are 20-5 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The 76ers were 17-9 (.654) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The 76ers were 23-9 (.719) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The 76ers were 34-18 (.654) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The 76ers are 0-9 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have allowed 112.0 points per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-5th-best in the NBA.

Injury Report: 76ers vs. NuggetsTuesday‘s Game, Jan. 16

  • Philadelphia 76ers – No Injuries Reported
  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 52% (2,785/5,407) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (641 assists/ 251 TOs) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets are shooting 50% (5,392/10,736) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers shot 39% from three (1,035/2,676) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The 76ers are shooting 84% from the free throw line (2,583/3,086) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The 76ers have a 30% free throw rate (1,028 free throw attempts/3,404 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The 76ers have 27.1 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.1

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (449/1,382) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (284 blocks/62 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets allowed 18.0 points per game (1,150 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 20.9

The Nuggets have allowed 12.5 second chance points per game (512 points/41 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 9.1 steals per game (347 steals/38 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The 76ers allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (118/405) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 34%

The 76ers averaged 7.7 steals per game (635 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The 76ers averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,822 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.