Nuggets vs 76ers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 31

  • The Nuggets are -9.5 favorites vs. the 76ers
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | NSPA | ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Wells Fargo Center to take on the Philadelphia 76ers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Philadelphia, PA, USA.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs 76ers Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 23-23 against the spread, while the 76ers are 17-27 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. 76ers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-9.5 -110O 233.5 -110-425
Philadelphia 76ers +76 -110U 233.5 -110+320

76ers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and 76ers.

76ers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the 76ers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 58.5% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 87 games (+25.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 50 of their last 81 games (+17.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games (+11.54 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+11.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 70 games (+9.79 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 23-23 (-2.3 Units / -4.45% ROI).

  • 28-19 against the Moneyline (-5.95 Units / -5.22% ROI)
  • 30-17 against the Over for game total points (+11.3 Units / 21.86% ROI)
  • 17-30 against the Under for game total points (-16 Units / -30.95% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 17-27 (-12.7 Units / -25.12% ROI).

  • 19-27 against the Moneyline (-4 Units / -5.67% ROI)
  • 24-20 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 3.95% ROI)
  • 20-24 against the Under for game total points (-6.4 Units / -12.65% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 87 games (-37.75 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 87 games (-29.57 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 89 games (-23.67 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 89 games (-22.44 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-21.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 91 games (-36.35 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 62 games (-32.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 46 away games (-27.66 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 69 games (-25.80 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 46 away games (-21.05 Units / -39% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

The Nuggets were 16-6 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Nuggets were 12-3 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The 76ers are 8-21 (.276) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 54.3 rebounds/game this season — T-4th-highest in the NBA.

The 76ers are 25-1 (.962) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .746

The 76ers are 9-3 (.750) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The 76ers are undefeated (13-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .900

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (161 assists/ 56 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (494 points/47 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Nuggets have averaged 19.9 fast break points per game (936 points/47 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,802 assists/ 1,242 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers are shooting 82% from the free throw line (3,710/4,502) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The 76ers have a 27% free throw rate (1,068 free throw attempts/3,948 field goal attempts) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

The 76ers have 23.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The 76ers averaged 15.9 fast break points per game (1,300 points/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 8.4 steals per game (395 steals/47 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Nuggets have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,739 rebounds/47 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,620 rebounds/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,449 rebounds/46 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The 76ers averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The 76ers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,234 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The 76ers have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (186 blocks/46 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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