- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on TNT | ALT | truTV | Max
The Denver Nuggets visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI, WI, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Nuggets vs Bucks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 30-27 against the spread, while the Bucks are 26-31 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | O | ||
| Milwaukee Bucks | U |
Bucks vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 75.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Bucks.
Bucks vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 53.3% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 56 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+11.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)
Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 49 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.97 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 49 games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 75 games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 30-27 (+0.3 Units / 0.47% ROI).
- 38-20 against the Moneyline (+1.75 Units / 1.03% ROI)
- 35-23 against the Over for game total points (+9.7 Units / 15.2% ROI)
- 23-35 against the Under for game total points (-15.5 Units / -24.29% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 26-31 (-8.1 Units / -12.7% ROI).
- 33-25 against the Moneyline (-12.65 Units / -8.97% ROI)
- 28-30 against the Over for game total points (-5 Units / -7.84% ROI)
- 30-28 against the Under for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.25% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 75 games (-47.30 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 88 games (-27.50 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.65 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 75 games (-19.40 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 63 games (-19.20 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 73 games (-27.70 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 92 games (-27.20 Units / -13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 43 away games (-24.91 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 94 games (-23.80 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 80 games (-23.50 Units / -25% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Nuggets are 21-4 (.840) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552
The Nuggets are 45-14 (.763) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Nuggets were 47-22 (.681) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487
The Nuggets are 20-4 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .613
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Bucks are 28-19 (.596) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456
The Bucks were 25-10 (.714) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Bucks are 39-17 (.696) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Bucks are 28-24 (.538) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (606 points/56 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 62.4 points in the paint per game (1,746 points/28 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3
The Nuggets have averaged 59.7 points in the paint per game (3,344 points/56 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7
The Nuggets have averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (1,134 points/56 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (295 points/54 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Bucks have averaged 5.7 fast break points per game (775 points/136 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Bucks averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,358 points/940 shots) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
The Bucks are shooting 39% from three (782/2,021) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,080 rebounds/56 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Nuggets have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (725 blocks/138 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (441 steals/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,067 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks have averaged 7.2 steals per game (389 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
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