- The Cavaliers are -4.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | AL2 | FDOH | KUSA
The Denver Nuggets visit Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Cleveland, OH.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Nuggets vs Cavaliers Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 7-11 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 16-6 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | O | ||
| Cleveland Cavaliers | U |
Cavaliers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Thursday‘s game with 67.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Cavaliers.
Cavaliers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.5% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 90 games (+10.50 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.11 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 away games (+8.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
Cavaliers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 56 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 26 games (+15.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+14.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games at home (+11.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 7-11 (-5.1 Units / -24.4% ROI).
- 11-8 against the Moneyline (+1.25 Units / 2.99% ROI)
- 12-7 against the Over for game total points (+4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI)
- 7-12 against the Under for game total points (-6.2 Units / -29.67% ROI)
Cleveland Cavaliers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 16-6 (+9.4 Units / 38.84% ROI).
- 19-3 against the Moneyline (+12.35 Units / 13.83% ROI)
- 13-9 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI)
- 9-13 against the Under for game total points (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Cavaliers:
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 49 games at home (-29.80 Units / -54% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 48 games at home (-25.22 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 56 games (-24.20 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 96 games (-23.70 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 75 games (-20.00 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 84 games (-33.90 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 34 games (-19.95 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.35 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 53 games (-17.87 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 75 games (-15.38 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Cleveland Cavaliers
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers
The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .583
The Nuggets were 16-6 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Nuggets are 43-9 (.827) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574
The Nuggets were 53-21 (.716) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Cavaliers are 18-2 (.900) when scoring 110 or more points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .654
The Cavaliers are 6-1 (.857) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
The Cavaliers are 18-2 (.900) when scoring 110 or more points this season — best in the NBA. The Nuggets have allowed 116.3 points per game this season — 7th-worst in the NBA.
The Cavaliers were 32-10 (.762) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 10.7 fast break points per game (204 points/19 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (4,098/8,074) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets have averaged 19.3 fast break points per game (367 points/19 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4
The Nuggets have averaged 14.9 assists per game (284 assists/19 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4
Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Cavaliers are shooting 53% (124/235) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Cavaliers are shooting 51% (994/1,952) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 59% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Cavaliers are shooting 50% (484/962) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,628 rebounds/101 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (90 blocks/19 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Nuggets have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (547 blocks/101 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (274 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Cavaliers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (488 blocks/104 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Cavaliers averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Cavaliers have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (794 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Cavaliers have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (131/324) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
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