Nuggets vs Clippers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 1

  • The Clippers are -6.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
  • Total (Over/Under): 212.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max | FDSC

The Denver Nuggets visit Intuit Dome to take on the Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Inglewood, CA.

The Clippers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Nuggets vs Clippers Over/Under is 212.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 40-46 against the spread, while the Clippers are against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Clippers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets+6.5 -115O 212.5 -115+200
Los Angeles Clippers -6.5 -105U 212.5 -105-250

Clippers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Clippers will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Clippers.

Clippers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 85 games (+20.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 away games (+11.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 85 games (+11.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 away games (+11.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 games (+10.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 71 games (+20.82 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 39 games at home (+19.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 39 games at home (+15.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have covered the 4Q Spread in 44 of their last 71 games (+15.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 87 games (+13.94 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 40-46 (-10.6 Units / -11.08% ROI).

  • 53-34 against the Moneyline (+2.5 Units / 0.99% ROI)
  • 50-37 against the Over for game total points (+9.3 Units / 9.72% ROI)
  • 37-50 against the Under for game total points (-18 Units / -18.81% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Clippers have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Home Moneyline Record against the Moneyline (Home ML Units Units / Home ML ROI ROI)
  • Home Over Record against the Over for game total points (Home Over Units Units / Home Over ROI ROI)
  • Home Under Record against the Under for game total points (Home Under Units Units / Home Under ROI ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 64 games (-29.30 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 20 of their last 64 games (-28.40 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 43 games (-16.40 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 43 games (-16.05 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 47 games (-15.15 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 85 games (-32.75 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 89 games (-23.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 79 games (-23.91 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 46 games (-23.55 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.52 Units / -24% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Clippers

The Nuggets are winless (0-12) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090

The Nuggets are 60-18 (.769) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Nuggets are 81-26 (.757) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Clippers have averaged 50.7 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-lowest in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 11-2 (.846) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627

Los Angeles Clippers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Clippers are undefeated (21-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .897

The Clippers are 17-3 (.850) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Clippers are 62-38 (.620) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Clippers are 39-10 (.796) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Nuggets have allowed 116.9 points per game this season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,540 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Nuggets have averaged 5.5 assists per game (302 assists/55 games) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2

The Nuggets have averaged 29.4 points in the paint per game (4,818 points/164 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

Los Angeles Clippers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers shot 40% from three (542/1,363) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Clippers had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,097 assists/ 1,078 TOs) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Clippers have a TS% of 52% this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Clippers had a TS% of 53% last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (859 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Nuggets have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (425 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Los Angeles Clippers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers averaged 7.8 steals per game (640 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Clippers have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,936 rebounds/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Clippers have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,413 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Clippers have 773 steals this season — 3rd most among NBA teams


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