Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 19

  • The Grizzlies are -3.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on ALT | KTVD | FDSM

The Denver Nuggets visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nuggets vs Grizzlies Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 4-7 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 9-5 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets O
Memphis Grizzlies U

Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 54.5% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 46 away games (+13.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 90 games (+11.10 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+7.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 89 games (+7.28 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 60 games (+21.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+15.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+11.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 66 games (+11.65 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 4-7 (-3.7 Units / -28.03% ROI).

  • 7-5 against the Moneyline (+0.55 Units / 1.95% ROI)
  • 8-4 against the Over for game total points (+3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 4-8 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 9-5 (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI).

  • 8-6 against the Moneyline (-4.15 Units / -16.5% ROI)
  • 9-5 against the Over for game total points (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI)
  • 5-9 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-27.47 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 66 games (-20.10 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.78 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 62 games (-17.17 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 84 games (-15.70 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 77 games (-32.40 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 46 away games (-20.25 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 93 games (-20.15 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 27 away games (-17.50 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 27 games (-16.80 Units / -39% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Nuggets are 28-7 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .582

The Nuggets were 53-21 (.716) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Nuggets are 21-7 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Nuggets are 105-22 (.827) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .651

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Grizzlies are 1-30 (.032) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .215

The Grizzlies are 4-30 (.118) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .318

The Grizzlies are 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .397

The Grizzlies are 4-30 (.118) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-3rd-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-best in the NBA.

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. NuggetsTuesday‘s Game, Nov. 19

  • Memphis Grizzlies – No Injuries Reported
  • Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 18.4 fast break points per game (221 points/12 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,714 assists/ 1,201 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Nuggets have averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (125 points/12 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (1,264 assists/ 501 TOs) in the first half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies have averaged 59.9 points in the paint per game (838 points/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets blocked 457 shots last season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,260 rebounds/176 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,384 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.9 blocks per game (330 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (1,077 blocks/178 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.7 steals per game (772 steals/89 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (537 blocks/89 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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