- The Hawks are -3.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
- Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points
- Watch the game on ALT | FDSE
The Denver Nuggets visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Atlanta, GA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Nuggets vs Hawks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 7-13 against the spread, while the Hawks are 10-14 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Denver Nuggets | O | ||
Atlanta Hawks | U |
Hawks vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Sunday‘s game with 72.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Hawks.
Hawks vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.11 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.20 Units / 37% ROI)
Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 40 games (+16.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games (+15.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 41 games (+15.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 66 games (+12.43 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+11.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 7-13 (-7.3 Units / -31.6% ROI).
- 11-10 against the Moneyline (-6.65 Units / -13.37% ROI)
- 14-7 against the Over for game total points (+6.3 Units / 27.27% ROI)
- 7-14 against the Under for game total points (-8.4 Units / -36.36% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 10-14 (-5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI).
- 13-11 against the Moneyline (+9.65 Units / 24.34% ROI)
- 16-8 against the Over for game total points (+7.2 Units / 27.27% ROI)
- 8-16 against the Under for game total points (-9.6 Units / -36.36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
- The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 87 games (-27.03 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 64 games (-24.75 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-24.30 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-22.25 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 64 games (-22.10 Units / -31% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 86 games (-38.80 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 86 games (-31.20 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 36 games (-24.10 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 86 games (-20.65 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 39 of their last 93 games (-19.52 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .583
The Nuggets were 47-22 (.681) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487
The Nuggets were 37-3 (.925) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Hawks are 14-31 (.311) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 52.7 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-highest in the NBA.
The Hawks are 6-9 (.400) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .468
The Hawks were 13-21 (.382) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Hawks are 8-4 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 10.7 fast break points per game (224 points/21 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 19.4 fast break points per game (407 points/21 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
The Nuggets averaged 31.0 assists per game (1,270 assists/41 games) at home last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 27.2
The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (1,270 assists/ 513 TOs) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 9.6 fast break points per game (230 points/24 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Hawks have averaged 15.6 second chance points per game (374 points/24 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Hawks have averaged 17.0 fast break points per game (409 points/24 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
The Hawks averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (454 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets blocked 457 shots last season — 10th most among NBA teams
The Nuggets have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,704 rebounds/103 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have allowed 16.2 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.5
The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Hawks have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (873 rebounds/24 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Hawks have averaged 10.2 steals per game (245 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
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