Nuggets vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 16

  • The Kings are -1.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Watch the game on ALT | NSCA

The Denver Nuggets visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Kings Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 9-13 against the spread, while the Kings are 10-15 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets+1.5 -110O 237.5 -110+100
Sacramento Kings -1.5 -110U 237.5 -110-120

Kings vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 69.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Kings.

Kings vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+10.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+10.11 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 36 games (+7.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+10.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+9.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+7.37 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.65 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 9-13 (-5.3 Units / -20.95% ROI).

  • 13-10 against the Moneyline (-4.65 Units / -8.7% ROI)
  • 15-8 against the Over for game total points (+6.1 Units / 24.02% ROI)
  • 8-15 against the Under for game total points (-8.5 Units / -33.73% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 10-15 (-6.5 Units / -22.73% ROI).

  • 12-13 against the Moneyline (-13.85 Units / -22.25% ROI)
  • 13-12 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI)
  • 12-13 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 42 games at home (-34.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 44 games at home (-22.58 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-15.76 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 43 games at home (-14.55 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 23 games at home (-14.36 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 88 games (-36.80 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 88 games (-31.81 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 38 games (-22.10 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 37 of their last 88 games (-20.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 38 of their last 91 games (-19.37 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

The Nuggets were 25-8 (.758) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets are 12-9 (.571) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .463

The Nuggets were 10-3 (.769) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Kings are 1-6 (.143) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416

The Kings were 16-22 (.421) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Kings are 10-18 (.357) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427

The Kings are 8-4 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 10.9 fast break points per game (250 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Nuggets have averaged 20.1 fast break points per game (462 points/23 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4

The Nuggets have 25.5 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.1

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (4,098/8,074) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings are shooting 31% from three (143/466) on the road this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Kings have averaged 13.2 fast break points per game (342 points/26 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4

The Kings averaged 116.6 points per game (9,558 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Kings are shooting 34% from three (312/906) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nuggets have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (841 rebounds/23 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Nuggets have averaged 9.1 steals per game (209 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have allowed 5.5 second chance points per game (595 points/108 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (366 blocks/94 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1


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