Nuggets vs Knicks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 25, 2024, 4:32 PM
  • The Nuggets are -2.5 favorites vs. the Knicks
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on MSG | ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in New York, NY.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Knicks Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 19-24 against the spread, while the Knicks are 24-18 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-2.5 -110O 222.5 -115-135
New York Knicks +2.5 -110U 222.5 -105+110

Knicks vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Nuggets and Knicks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Knicks vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 55.1% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 65 of their last 99 games (+26.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 66 games (+20.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 73 games (+17.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 78 games (+17.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 35 away games (+16.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 84 games (+15.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 55 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 28 games at home (+13.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the Spread in 48 of their last 83 games (+12.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 76 games (+12.65 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 19-24 (-7.5 Units / -15.06% ROI).

  • 31-14 against the Moneyline (+8.35 Units / 5.95% ROI)
  • 17-27 against the Over for game total points (-12.7 Units / -25.68% ROI)
  • 27-17 against the Under for game total points (+8.3 Units / 16.77% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 24-18 (+4.25 Units / 8.8% ROI).

  • 27-17 against the Moneyline (+6.35 Units / 6.27% ROI)
  • 19-25 against the Over for game total points (-8.5 Units / -17.56% ROI)
  • 25-19 against the Under for game total points (+4.1 Units / 8.47% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 88 games (-21.65 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-21.25 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 55 games (-19.55 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 63 games (-17.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 71 games (-15.10 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 99 games (-38.25 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 89 games (-24.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 78 games (-24.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 94 games (-21.20 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 20 of their last 58 games (-19.60 Units / -31% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 21-5 (.808) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Nuggets are 31-10 (.756) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Nuggets are 15-4 (.789) when they win the turnover margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .537

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Knicks are winless (0-11) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .260

The Knicks are 7-5 (.583) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Knicks are 26-17 (.605) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .493

The Knicks were 9-1 (.900) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

Injury Report: Knicks vs. NuggetsThursday‘s Game, Jan. 25

  • Evan Fournier (New York Knicks): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • DaQuan Jeffries (New York Knicks): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 52% (2,785/5,407) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,938/5,733) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (695 assists/ 273 TOs) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 19.5 offensive rebounds per game (859 rebounds/44 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.7

The Knicks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (1,056 points/126 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Knicks averaged 22.9 assists per game (1,880 assists/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Knicks have averaged 16.5 second chance points per game (727 points/44 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (284 blocks/62 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 7.5 steals per game (463 steals/62 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Nuggets have blocked 329 shots on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets have allowed opponents to shoot 47% (1,836/3,938) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,991 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Knicks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (171 blocks/44 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Knicks have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (4,574 rebounds/126 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Knicks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,583 rebounds/44 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.