Nuggets vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 08, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Nuggets are -3.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | SPEC

The Denver Nuggets visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Lakers Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 21-28 against the spread, while the Lakers are 24-29 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-3.5 -110O 229.5 -105-165
Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 -110U 229.5 -115+135

Lakers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Lakers.

Lakers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.3% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 64 of their last 98 games (+26.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 72 games (+21.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+21.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 79 games (+18.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 37 away games (+13.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+18.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 96 games (+14.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+14.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 56 of their last 96 games (+12.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.15 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 21-28 (-9.95 Units / -17.63% ROI).

  • 35-16 against the Moneyline (+9.95 Units / 5.84% ROI)
  • 18-32 against the Over for game total points (-17.2 Units / -30.69% ROI)
  • 32-18 against the Under for game total points (+12.2 Units / 21.75% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 24-29 (-8 Units / -13.69% ROI).

  • 28-25 against the Moneyline (+4.75 Units / 4.73% ROI)
  • 29-24 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 4.46% ROI)
  • 24-29 against the Under for game total points (-7.95 Units / -13.62% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 72 games (-24.75 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 90 games (-22.45 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 41 of their last 95 games (-18.65 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 86 games (-17.45 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games at home (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 98 games (-37.00 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 84 games (-29.30 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 95 games (-27.40 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 64 games (-22.05 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 94 games (-21.30 Units / -15% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 21-5 (.808) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Nuggets are 32-10 (.762) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Nuggets are 17-4 (.810) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — T-4th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Lakers were 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Lakers are 7-2 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .628

The Lakers are 11-1 (.917) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .819

The Lakers are 5-2 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

Injury Report: Lakers vs. NuggetsThursday‘s Game, Feb. 8

  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Julian Strawther (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Game Time Decision

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,954/5,757) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.3 second chance points per game (225 points/52 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 10.1 second chance points per game (272 points/27 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Lakers had 26.6 free throw attempts per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Lakers have averaged 17.9 fast break points per game (483 points/27 games) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (345 steals/51 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (259/773) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Nuggets have allowed 11.3 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8

The Nuggets have forced 12.2 turnovers per game (318 turnovers/26 games) on the road this season — 6th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers averaged 6.4 steals per game (526 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Lakers have 409 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Lakers have averaged 7.9 steals per game (409 steals/52 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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