- The Nuggets are -1.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
- Watch the game on ABC
The Denver Nuggets visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Nuggets vs Lakers Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 26-32 against the spread, while the Lakers are 28-34 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Denver Nuggets | -1.5 +105 | O 228.5 -110 | -115 |
Los Angeles Lakers | +1.5 -125 | U 228.5 -110 | -105 |
Lakers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Saturday‘s game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Lakers.
Lakers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 94 games (+26.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 93 games (+23.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 81 games (+23.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 88 games (+17.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 73 games (+12.45 Units / 16% ROI)
Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 81 games (+22.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 46 games at home (+15.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+9.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 75% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 26-32 (-9.3 Units / -14.02% ROI).
- 41-19 against the Moneyline (+11.9 Units / 5.98% ROI)
- 21-38 against the Over for game total points (-20.8 Units / -31.54% ROI)
- 38-21 against the Under for game total points (+14.9 Units / 22.58% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 28-34 (-9.45 Units / -13.85% ROI).
- 34-28 against the Moneyline (+8.55 Units / 6.99% ROI)
- 32-29 against the Over for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.15% ROI)
- 29-32 against the Under for game total points (-6.25 Units / -9.16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 81 games (-30.25 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 95 games (-21.45 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 39 of their last 95 games (-19.05 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-18.75 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 38 games (-18.70 Units / -41% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 94 games (-36.95 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 93 games (-32.90 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 88 games (-25.60 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 99 games (-21.35 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 99 games (-21.25 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Nuggets are 6-2 (.750) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed 14.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.
The Nuggets are 32-11 (.744) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Nuggets are 19-4 (.826) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Lakers were 4-13 (.235) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297
The Lakers are 3-9 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394
The Lakers are 5-2 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Lakers are 33-22 (.600) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546
Injury Report: Lakers vs. Nuggets – Saturday‘s Game, Mar. 2
- Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
- Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
- Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
- Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
- Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
- Hunter Tyson (Denver Nuggets): Finger, Out
- Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Lower Leg, Out
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,954/5,757) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 4.4 second chance points per game (237 points/54 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers have averaged 10.1 second chance points per game (272 points/27 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Lakers have averaged 10.0 second chance points per game (541 points/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Lakers had 26.6 free throw attempts per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.5
The Nuggets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (303 blocks/66 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (365 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Nuggets allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (449/1,382) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,107 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,991 rebounds/54 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Lakers averaged 6.4 steals per game (526 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
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