- The Lakers are -4.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
- Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | ALT | SPEC
The Denver Nuggets visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.
The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).
The Nuggets vs Lakers Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 5-8 against the spread, while the Lakers are 7-8 against the spread.
Bet now on Lakers vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM
Nuggets vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | +3.5 -105 | O 235.5 -105 | +145 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | -3.5 -115 | U 235.5 -115 | -175 |
Lakers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Lakers.
Lakers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 55.5% confidence.
Bet now on Lakers vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 away games (+11.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 92 games (+11.15 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.43 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.20 Units / 19% ROI)
Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 54 games (+22.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 64 games (+15.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games (+13.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games (+13.07 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 86 games (+11.65 Units / 12% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 5-8 (-3.8 Units / -24.68% ROI).
- 8-6 against the Moneyline (+0.6 Units / 1.93% ROI)
- 10-4 against the Over for game total points (+5.6 Units / 36.36% ROI)
- 4-10 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units / -45.45% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 7-8 (-1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI).
- 10-5 against the Moneyline (+1.9 Units / 5.27% ROI)
- 9-6 against the Over for game total points (+2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI)
- 6-9 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 88 games (-25.45 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 87 games (-25.15 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 88 games (-24.35 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 88 games (-22.15 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 66 games (-19.45 Units / -26% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 79 games (-32.60 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 44 away games (-18.10 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 29 games (-17.05 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 79 games (-14.60 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 44 away games (-14.00 Units / -28% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Nuggets are 28-7 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .581
The Nuggets are 8-2 (.800) when scoring 110 or more points this season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed 116.2 points per game this season — 7th-worst in the NBA.
The Nuggets are 21-8 (.724) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Nuggets were 25-8 (.758) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Lakers are 9-3 (.750) when scoring 110 or more points this season — T-9th-best in the NBA. The Nuggets have allowed 115.6 points per game this season — 8th-worst in the NBA.
The Lakers are 21-1 (.955) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822
The Lakers are 8-5 (.615) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495
The Lakers are 8-4 (.667) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 10.7 fast break points per game (150 points/14 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Nuggets have averaged 18.5 fast break points per game (259 points/14 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4
The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (1,270 assists/ 513 TOs) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,747 assists/ 1,216 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4
The Lakers have averaged 4.8 second chance points per game (464 points/97 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers have averaged 30.0 points in the paint per game (2,906 points/97 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,332 rebounds/178 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have allowed a TS% of 48% in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have allowed a TS% of 58% in close and late situations this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50%
The Lakers have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (501 rebounds/15 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Lakers have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,548 rebounds/97 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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